|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Climbs above 97.00 amid risk aversion

  • AUD/JPY's gains defy typical risk aversion impact, supported by fading expectations of BoJ policy normalization.
  • Technical indicators signal bullish trend; immediate targets include 97.79, 98.00, and November 30 high at 98.10.
  • Downside risks for AUD/JPY include potential supports at 96.41 (Senkou Span A), 96.14 (Senkou Span B), and the 96.00 level.

The Aussie Dollar (AUD) prints gains versus the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday amid a risk aversion environment, which usually is a headwind for the AUD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, Japanese data revealed during January has brushed away the chances for the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to normalize policy, meaning higher interest rates. Therefore, the AUD/JPY trades at 97.08, gains 0.27%.

From a technical perspective, the AUD/JPY turned bullish as the Chikou Span has broken above price action in the daily chart. That, alongside the exchange rate seen above, the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), has opened the door for further gains, though traders must regain key resistance levels on their way north.

The first supply zone would be the January 11 high of 97.79, followed by the 98.00 figure, and the November 30 mark 1t 98.10. Further upside is at 98.58, the November 15 high.

On the other hand, if sellers would like to drag prices below 97.00. Once cleared, the next support would be the Senkou Span A at 96.41, followed by the Senkow Span B at 96.14, followed by the 96.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price97.1
Today Daily Change0.26
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open96.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA2096.74
Daily SMA5096.86
Daily SMA10095.94
Daily SMA20094.51
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.45
Previous Daily Low96.84
Previous Weekly High97.8
Previous Weekly Low96.15
Previous Monthly High98.07
Previous Monthly Low93.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%97.22
Daily Pivot Point S196.64
Daily Pivot Point S296.43
Daily Pivot Point S396.02
Daily Pivot Point R197.25
Daily Pivot Point R297.66
Daily Pivot Point R397.86

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1850

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1870 during the Asian hours on Friday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index momentum indicator at 56 stays above the midline, confirming steady momentum. RSI has eased but remains above 50, indicating momentum remains constructive for the bulls.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Gold recovers swiftly from weekly low, climbs back closer to $5,000 ahead of US CPI

Gold regains positive traction during the Asian session on Friday and recovers a part of the previous day's heavy losses to the $4,878-4,877 region, or the weekly low. The commodity has now moved back closer to the $5,000 psychological mark as traders keenly await the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Federal Reserve's policy path.

Solana: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.