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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: China-inspired optimism defends buyers past 95.00 key support

  • AUD/JPY pushes back bearish bias after snapping two-day winning streak the previous day.
  • Convergence of key EMA, two-week-old rising support line appears a tough nut to crack for sellers.
  • China policymakers pledge more stimulus to defend the dragon nation, PBoC keeps Yuan afloat.

AUD/JPY clings to mild gains above 95.00 as it cheers China-linked risk-on mood during early Tuesday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair defends the previous day’s rebound from a convergence of the 50 and 100 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), as well as a two-week-long rising trend line.

Also read: USD/CNH slides to 7.1500 as PBoC defends Yuan, China stimulus loom

Apart from that, the upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, also underpins bullish bias about the AUD/JPY pair.

However, a downward-sloping resistance line from June 18, close to 95.70 at the latest, seems a strong hurdle for the bulls to cross for conviction.

Following that, the monthly high surrounding 96.85 and the yearly peak marked in June surrounding 97.70 will be in the spotlight.

In a case where the AUD/JPY remains firmer past 97.70, the previous yearly top of around 98.60 and the 100.00 psychological magnet could lure the bulls.

Meanwhile, a downside break of the 95.00 support confluence comprising the aforementioned key EMAs and the trend line could drag the quote toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the May-June upside, close to 93.95.

However, the monthly low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, respectively near 93.30 and 93.10, adjacent to the 93.00 round figure, will test the AUD/JPY bears afterward.

AUD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price95.38
Today Daily Change0.04
Today Daily Change %0.04%
Today daily open95.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA2095.27
Daily SMA5094.18
Daily SMA10091.78
Daily SMA20091.93
 
Levels
Previous Daily High95.53
Previous Daily Low94.88
Previous Weekly High95.79
Previous Weekly Low93.78
Previous Monthly High97.68
Previous Monthly Low90.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%95.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%95.28
Daily Pivot Point S194.97
Daily Pivot Point S294.6
Daily Pivot Point S394.32
Daily Pivot Point R195.62
Daily Pivot Point R295.9
Daily Pivot Point R396.28

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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