|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish pressure intensifies, potential short-term rebound signalled

  • The hourly chart portrays the RSI in the oversold territory, signaling a potential short-term rebound.
  • On a broader perspective, the AUD/JPY remains above the main SMAs, indicating long-term bullish sentiment.
  • The daily RSI is also in negative territory, showing increasing selling pressure.
  • In the next sessions, the sellers may take a step back to consolidate their movements.

In Friday's session, the AUD/JPY pair is now trading at 97.49, demonstrating a loss of 0.38%. While the pair is currently dominated by sellers, oversold conditions seen on the hourly chart suggest that the pair may see some upside in the short term to consolidate.

Analyzing the daily chart, the pair's Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits in negative territory, showcasing stronger selling momentum. In line with that, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram shows increasing negative momentum with rising red bars. Despite the ongoing bearish tendency, the pair manages to stay above the 100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), which signifies a favorable condition for the bulls overall.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Zooming to the hourly chart, the RSI is currently located in the oversold territory, contrasting sharply with the daily chart, suggesting a possible short-term rebound due to oversold conditions. Likewise, the MACD illustrates increasing negative momentum on the hourly chart, aligning with the daily analysis. Despite differing conditions outlined in the hourly and daily charts, both depict dominant bearish forces, with bulls maintaining their stance in the broader spectrum and with the possibility of a bullish rebound in the short term.

AUD/JPY hourly chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price97.38
Today Daily Change-0.63
Today Daily Change %-0.64
Today daily open98.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2098.01
Daily SMA5097.35
Daily SMA10096.98
Daily SMA20095.87
 
Levels
Previous Daily High98.1
Previous Daily Low97.43
Previous Weekly High98.84
Previous Weekly Low97.34
Previous Monthly High99.06
Previous Monthly Low95.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%97.84
Daily Pivot Point S197.6
Daily Pivot Point S297.18
Daily Pivot Point S396.93
Daily Pivot Point R198.26
Daily Pivot Point R298.51
Daily Pivot Point R398.93

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near monthly high, around 0.7035 on hawkish RBA

AUD/USD trades around 0.7030-0.7035 in the Asian session on Thursday, near its monthly top, as recent hawkish comments from RBA officials continue to underpin the Australian Dollar. The US Dollar, meanwhile, struggles to lure buyers amid further declines in US bond yields, adding support to the pair. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainty help limit losses for the safe-haven buck, warranting caution for Aussie bulls.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range; holds steady above 158.00

USD/JPY extends its consolidative price action through Thursday's Asian session, trading just above 158.00 amid diverging forces. Uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. The US Dollar, meanwhile, languishes near multi-week low amid declining US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks limit JPY losses and cap the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the Fed and BoJ meetings next week.

Gold hangs near one-week low; eyes $4,100 break amid Fed hike bets

Gold attracts fresh sellers in Thursday’s Asian session, sliding closer to a one-week low touched the previous day. Firming expectations for an imminent Fed rate hike, bolstered by oil-driven inflation risks, weigh on the non-yielding bullion. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields counter geopolitical uncertainty, keeping US Dollar bulls on the defensive. This helps XAU/USD defend $4,100.

Dogecoin Labs launches, resistance looms
Dogecoin (DOGE) Labs launched Wednesday in partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation, bringing together several product teams and technologies to expand the use of the memecoin (DOGE) across payments, decentralized finance (DeFi) and consumer applications. The launch will consolidate MyDoge, DogeOS and Such App under one business, led by Jordan Jefferson, founder of MyDoge and DogeOS.
What the midterm elections mean for Treasury yields, the Dollar and Gold
Democrats are priced to take the House, so November 3 comes down to the Senate and how much Washington can borrow without the other party. Treasury yields will show the answer first, then the Dollar and Gold. On November 3, Americans vote for all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. For bond prices, the result comes down to one thing: how much the government will borrow over the next two years.
The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.