|

AUD/JPY plummets to near 106.00 as Japan’s intervention warnings boost Yen

  • AUD/JPY plunges almost 1% to near 106.00 as the Yen outperforms across the board.
  • Japan’s PM Takaichi warns of intervention to address speculative moves against Yen.
  • Investors await the Australian Q4 and December CPI data.

The AUD/JPY pair holds onto early losses near 106.00 during the European trading session on Monday. The cross is down almost 1% as the Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforms its peers, following comments from Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi that the government could intervene against one-way excessive moves.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.29%-0.24%-1.29%-0.09%-0.41%-0.39%-0.55%
EUR0.29%0.05%-1.00%0.20%-0.13%-0.11%-0.26%
GBP0.24%-0.05%-1.03%0.16%-0.17%-0.14%-0.31%
JPY1.29%1.00%1.03%1.23%0.89%0.92%0.76%
CAD0.09%-0.20%-0.16%-1.23%-0.33%-0.30%-0.46%
AUD0.41%0.13%0.17%-0.89%0.33%0.02%-0.13%
NZD0.39%0.11%0.14%-0.92%0.30%-0.02%-0.16%
CHF0.55%0.26%0.31%-0.76%0.46%0.13%0.16%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

“Cannot comment on market but will closely monitor speculative moves and respond appropriately,” Takaichi said. She also vowed to achieve a “two-year suspension of 8% consumption tax”. Takaichi has also been arguing about loosening tight fiscal conditions, and a lower consumption tax is a crucial step towards fulfilling her economic agenda.

Hopes of looser fiscal conditions have been pushing the cost of funds for Japan's government higher. 10-year yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) have rebounded after a three-day corrective move on Monday.

On the monetary policy front, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left interest rates unchanged at 0.75% on Friday, while leaving the door open for more interest rate hikes.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar (AUD) trades broadly firm ahead of the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the fourth quarter and December 2025 on Wednesday. Q4 CPI is estimated to have grown at an annualized pace of 3.6%, faster than the prior release of 3.2%.

Hot CPI figures would prompt expectations of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in the near term. Currently, traders see a 60% chance that the RBA will hike borrowing rates  in the policy meeting next week, Reuters reported.

Economic Indicator

Quarterly Consumer Price Index (YoY)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a quarterly basis, measures the changes in the price of a fixed basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The quarterly CPI data series are calculated as the average of the three relevant monthly CPIs. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference quarter to the same quarter a year earlier. A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Jan 28, 2026 00:30

Frequency: Quarterly

Consensus: 3.6%

Previous: 3.2%

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

The quarterly Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has a significant impact on the market and the AUD valuation. The gauge is closely watched by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), in order to achieve its inflation mandate, which has major monetary policy implications. Rising consumer prices tend to be AUD bullish, as the RBA could hike interest rates to maintain its inflation target. The data is released nearly 25 days after the quarter ends.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

British Pound eases to 1.3450 area following downwardly revised Manufacturing PMI data

The British Pound is trimming previous gains against the US Dollar on Monday, returning to the mid-range of the 1.3400s down from fresh seven-week highs, above 1.3500 earlier on the day. Weaker-than-expected UK manufacturing data added pressure on the Pound, which rallied at the Asian session opening, amid news of a halt to the hostilities in Iran.

EUR/USD remains under pressure; looks at 1.1500 on firm US ISM

EUR/USD now accelerates its downtrend and trades in the low 1.1500s on the back of the marginal improvement in the US Dollar, all in the wake of solid US ISM Manufacturing data on Wednesday. The Greenback, in the meantime, remains far from a sustainable rebound in the current context of cooling geopolitical tensions.

Gold remains supported near $4,000

Gold adds to Friday’s pullback, although it remains well underpinned by the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce on Monday. The US Dollar’s inconclusive price action seems enough to cap the yellow metal’s potential upside, although renewed hopes for a US-Iran peace deal and fading expectations of a Fed rate hike could limit the Greenback’s recovery.

Week ahead: US payrolls report and AI earnings to keep investors on edge

After the Fed decision, NFP report awaited for more rate hike clues. Employment also on the agenda in Canada and New Zealand. Chinese trade and Japanese wage data to be watched too. But Iran and AI headlines to remain in driver’s seat for risk sentiment.

The Bitcoin futures yield collapse: Once over 20%, now less than Treasury notes
Once a goldmine for carry traders, Bitcoin futures have flipped, consistently underperforming plain‑vanilla U.S. Treasuries every month since February. Carry trades consistently yielded 20% or more across regulated and unregulated crypto exchanges during the 2021 bull market. The strategy involved shorting Bitcoin futures while simultaneously buying a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF).
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.