|

AUD/JPY jumps to 92.00 on RBA rate hike, ignores hawkish BoJ concerns, Japan intervention news

  • AUD/JPY adds to intraday gains even as RBA hiked rates by 0.25%.
  • RBA matches market forecasts but fails to please hawks by expecting softer inflation.
  • BoJ’s Kuroda struggles to push back hawkish bias, MoF Japan confirms market intervention.
  • Sluggish sentiment also acts as an upside filter.

AUD/JPY takes the bids to refresh intraday high near 92.00. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced the fourth consecutive 0.25% hike in the benchmark interest rate early Tuesday. RBA matched the market forecasts and allowed the cross-currency pair to remain firmer for the second day.

As the move was widely priced-in and the Aussie central bank failed to offer any major hawkish clues, the AUD/JPY could not cheer the rate lift and cling to mild gains during a two-day uptrend. The RBA’s inability to please the pair buyers could be linked to the statements expecting softer inflation.

Also read: Breaking: RBA raises OCR by 25 bps to 3.35% in February, as expected

In addition to the RBA’s inability to please Aussie bulls, hawkish concerns surrounding the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) next moves and Japan’s money market interventions seem to challenge the AUD/JPY bulls, despite the initial spike.

On Monday, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said that the central bank would seek to achieve 2% inflation in a stable, sustainable manner while keeping an eye out for side effects. Earlier in the week, chatters surrounding the BoJ Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya’s selection as the next Japanese central bank leader and the hawkish results of the same seem to have teased the Japanese Yen (JPY) traders.

During the Asian session, Reuters mentioned that the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) aggressive market operations to defend its policy band for yields has not only sapped liquidity in the government bond market but also drastically limited the scope for speculation in bond futures. Following that, the Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) confirmed stealth market intervention on October 21 and 24 last year.

On a different page, sluggish yields also challenge AUD/JPY buyers as the US 10-year Treasury bond yields probe a two-day uptrend by retreating to 3.619% at the latest.

It’s worth noting that the market sentiment remains indecisive as the previous day’s fears of US-China tussles over the balloon shooting seemed to have faded while the Aussie-China ties appear to improve of late. On the same line were the receding concerns of the global recession.

Amid these plays, S&P 500 Futures print mild gains while stocks in Australia print mild losses at the latest.

The preliminary readings of Japan’s Coincident Index and Leading Economic Index for January may entertain AUD/JPY traders. Still, significant attention will be given to the BoJ chatters and risk catalysts like recession woes and the US-China tussles.

Technical analysis

A three-week-old bull flag formation keeps AUD/JPY buyers hopeful unless the quote drops back below the 90.00 psychological magnet.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price91.47
Today Daily Change0.17
Today Daily Change %0.19%
Today daily open91.3
 
Trends
Daily SMA2090.95
Daily SMA5090.94
Daily SMA10092.38
Daily SMA20093.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High91.62
Previous Daily Low90.8
Previous Weekly High92.66
Previous Weekly Low90.24
Previous Monthly High92.82
Previous Monthly Low87.41
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%91.3
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%91.11
Daily Pivot Point S190.87
Daily Pivot Point S290.43
Daily Pivot Point S390.06
Daily Pivot Point R191.68
Daily Pivot Point R292.05
Daily Pivot Point R392.49

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.