|

AUD/JPY jumps to 200-hour MA as RBA's Lowe questions efficacy of further easing

  • RBA's Lowe questions the efficacy of easy monetary policy. 
  • AUD/JPY jumps to 200-hour moving average hurdle. 
  • Lowe also voices global growth concerns. 

The bid tone around the Australian Dollar strengthened, pushing the AUD/JPY cross higher to the 20-hour moving average (MA) of 74.64 after the Reserve Bank of Australian Governor Lowe questioned the efficacy of further monetary easing. 

Lowe said the accomodative monetary policy would not work if everyone is easing, offsetting the positive effect of weaker exchange rates. Lowe's comments come at a time when the markets are priced in for 50 basis point rate cut before the year-end. The central bank cut rates by 25 basis points to a record low of 1.25% earlier this month. 

Also, other major central banks have turned dovish over the last few weeks. Notably, the European Central Bank President Draghi said last week that more rate cuts could be delivered if required and the US Federal Reserve removed the word "patience" from its forward guidance, setting the stage for a rate cut later this year. 

While Lowe's comments on easing are AUD-positive, the gains could be capped around the 200-hour MA of 74.64 on growth concerns. Lowe acknowledged global growth risks in his speech today and called for increased infrastructure spending by the Australian government. 

Further, tensions between the US and Iran and the ongoing US-China trade war could keep the gains under check. 

Pivot levels

    1. R3 74.94
    2. R2 74.74
    3. R1 74.54
  1. PP 74.34
    1. S1 74.14
    2. S2 73.94
    3. S3 73.74

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades with decent losses on Thursday, revisiting the 1.3450 zone. Cable’s resumption of the selling interest comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the improved sentiment around the Greenback amid fresh concerns in the Middle East.

EUR/USD bounces off lows, back to 1.1520

EUR/USD now manages to gather some traction following an earlier pullback toward the vicinity of 1.1500 on Thursday. The pair’s decent retracement comes in response to the firmer tone in the US Dollar in a context of reignited concerns over the Strait of Hormuz.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: Sell-off persists, bears aim for $1.00 as Ripple eyes on-chain multi-signature upgrade
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured, trading below $1.05 at the time of writing on Thursday. The token has declined for the fourth consecutive day this week, reflecting lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market despite the possibility of easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing
About the Yen: The WSJ has a front-page story about how the Fed is doing the exact opposite of what it should be doing—lending dollars to Japan to buy yen. “Put simply: America is printing dollars so Japan can buy yen.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.