Stock prices went lower again – Is a short-term bottom in?
The S&P 500 index lost 0.90% on Monday, as it further extended its last week’s decline following Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate hike. On Friday the index lost 1.1% and on Thursday it sold off by 2.5%. Yesterday the broad stock market index reached its new local low of 3,800.04.
Today the S&P 500 will likely open 0.2% lower after an overnight Bank of Japan’s monetary policy release. The markets were very volatile, but the European stock indexes bounced from their local lows.
Recently the S&P 500 index broke below its two-month-long upward trend line and moved sharply lower after getting back to that line last week, as we can see on the daily chart:
Futures contract trades closer to 3,800
Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. Today it reached new local low of around 3,804. The resistance level remains at 3,900-3,950. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. However, there are some clear short-term oversold conditions that may lead to a bounce or an upward reversal at some point.
Conclusion
The S&P 500 index is expected to open slightly lower this morning and it may see an attempt at retracing some of the recent sell-off. For now, it looks like a temporary bottom before an upward correction.
Here’s the breakdown:
-
The S&P 500 index went to the 3,800 level yesterday
-
Today it will likely go sideways or bounce despite an initial bearish reaction to the important Bank of Japan release.
Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!
All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.