American Airlines (AAL) bullish trend signals opportunity on retracement [Video]

Elliott Wave Forecast Team ElliottWave-Forecast.com

American Airlines (AAL) maintains a bullish sequence from the April 4 low, supporting prospects for further upside. A 100% Fibonacci extension projects a target of $16.8, reinforcing the constructive technical outlook. The short‑term cycle from the September 30 low is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. From that low, wave A advanced to 14.05. A corrective pullback in wave B then terminated at 12.11, as confirmed by the hourly chart. Wave C is now progressing higher in the form of an impulse Elliott Wave structure.

American Airlines (AAL) 60-Minute Elliott Wave chart from 12.10.2025

Within this advance, wave (i) ended at 12.65. The dip in wave (ii) found support at 12.15. Wave (iii) extended to 14.11, while the pullback in wave (iv) settled at 13.56. The stock is expected to complete wave (v) soon, which should finalize wave ((i)) of a higher degree. Afterward, a corrective phase in wave ((ii)) is anticipated. This will address the cycle from the November 18, 2025 low before the broader uptrend resumes. Near term, as long as the pivot at 12.11 remains intact, pullbacks should find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing structures. This framework continues to favor further upside potential.

AAL Elliott Wave video

Author

Elliott Wave Forecast Team

ElliottWave-Forecast.com

Japanese Yen gains ground as traders await Fed rate decision

The USD/JPY pair loses ground to near 160.25 during the early European trading hours. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh later on Wednesday.

AUD/USD stays pressured; holds above 0.7050 as traders await Fed decision

The AUD/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia-inspired bounce and trades with a negative bias for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, hold above the 0.7050 level as traders opt to wait for the outcome of a two-day FOMC policy meeting before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold keeps the bid tone unchanged, looks at Fed

Gold extends its weekly recovery on Wednesday, re-shifting its attention to the $4,400 mark per troy ounce as market participants await fresh guidance from the Fed. With the FOMC policy announcement and revised economic projections due later in the day, traders are opting for caution, somehow limiting the yellow metal’s upside potential.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trim breakout gains as focus shifts to Fed decision

Cryptocurrency prices broadly decline as investors show caution toward risk assets ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision on Wednesday.

Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates in Warsh's debut as chair

The United States Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers and new Chair Kevin Warsh as energy prices retreat after the United States and Iran reached a framework deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.