|

Above-forecast Aussie retail sales push AUD/USD above 0.72

  • AUD prints session highs above 0.72 following a better-than-expected Aussie retail sales release. 
  • The pair is struggling to find acceptance above 0.72 and could feel the pull of gravity during the day ahead as both the USD/CNH pair and gold are hinting at a recovery rally in the US dollar. 

The AUD/USD pair jumped to a session high of 0.7204 following the release of an upbeat Aussie retail sales data.

The consumption, as represented by retail sales, rose 0.4 percent month-on-month in November, beating the estimated print of 0.3 percent, according to Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). In annualized terms, the retail sales rose 3.6 percent.

Despite the above-forecast print, the AUD managed to add only 12 pips and is struggling to find acceptance above the psychological level of 0.72, possibly due to the minor bounce in the USD/CNH pair. Currently, that pair is trading at 6.79, having clocked a low of 6.77 yesterday.  

Moreover, a convincing break above 0.72 could remain elusive, as the offshore Chinese yuan - the anchor for FX markets - is looking overbought on the short duration technical charts. As a result, the USD/CNH pair could see a stronger bounce, helping the US dollar regain some poise across the board. 

The gold market is also showing similar signs. The yellow metal, which usually leads other currencies, is showing signs of bullish exhaustion near $1,300. Put simply, a corrective bounce in the US dollar is overdue. 

As of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading at 0.7190. 

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 0.7196
    Today Daily change: 12 pips
    Today Daily change %: 0.167%
    Today Daily Open: 0.7184
Trends:
    Previous Daily SMA20: 0.7095
    Previous Daily SMA50: 0.7188
    Previous Daily SMA100: 0.7178
    Previous Daily SMA200: 0.7333
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.7198
    Previous Daily Low: 0.7146
    Previous Weekly High: 0.7125
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.6684
    Previous Monthly High: 0.7394
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.7014
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.7178
    Previous Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.7166
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.7153
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.7123
    Previous Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.7101
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.7206
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.7228
    Previous Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.7258

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains depressed below mid-1.1800s; downside potential seems limited

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers for the second consecutive day on Tuesday and hovers below mid-1.1800s amid a relatively quiet trading action during the Asian session. The broader fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution for bearish traders before positioning for deeper losses.

GBP/USD trades with negative bias, eyes 1.3600 ahead of UK jobs data

The GBP/USD pair trades with a negative bias for the second straight day, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark through the Asian session on Tuesday. Traders now look forward to the release of the UK monthly jobs report, which will influence the British Pound and provide some impetus to the currency pair.

Gold declines as trading volumes remain subdued due to holidays in China

Gold price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $4,930 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday. Gold price is trading nearly 0.7% lower at the time of writing as trading volumes stayed thin due to market holidays across China, Hong Kong, and other parts of Asia.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.