|

What to expect next after BTC/USD break above $50k

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has managed to break above the psychologically round leve of $50k. Can the cryptocurrency challenge the previous high again?

Let’s review the long-term charts to analyse the remainder of the year 2021. Will the 2021 bull run outpace the 2017 bull run?

Chart

Price charts and technical analysis

The BTC/USD is showing a strong bullish recovery after a deep bearish pullback:

  1. Price action has managed to break above the 21 ema zone again.

  2. The bullish momentum is expected to challenge the previous top (blue arrow).

  3. The previous top is a strong resistance zone and could stop the uptrend.

  4. A bearish retracement (orange arrows) could complete an ABC (blue) in wave 4 (pink).

  5. A bullish bounce (green arrow) could take place at the support zone (green box).

  6. A bull flag pattern (grey arrows) however indicates that the immediate uptrend remains valid. In that case, a wave 4’ finished at the recent low.

On the daily chart, we see that the bullish momentum is strong because price action remains above the 21 ema zone for a long time:

  1. The bullish price swing is either a wave C or 3 (orange).

  2. This depends on the price reaction at the resistance zone (red box).

  3. A bearish reversal (red arrow) indicates a wave C and more bearish correction.

  4. A flag pattern (grey arrows) indicates a wave 3 continuation.

Chart

The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method simple wave analysis and trading. For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

FS method

Chris Svorcik is a trader, analyst, and educator with over 15 years of experience in financial markets, specializing in moving averages, market structure, and price patterns.

More from Chris Svorcik
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM await direction amid cautious sentiment

Ripple and Stellar trade cautiously as both tokens hover around key technical levels. XRP is testing resistance at its 50-day EMA, while XLM continues to consolidate around the $0.187 support zone. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives data with a slight bearish tilt suggests traders remain cautious, keeping the next directional move uncertain.

Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin recovery eases – HBAR and LDO test key resistance zones

Bitcoin edges below $66,000 extending the previous day's losses. Hedera and Lido DAO sustain bullish momentum, testing the breakout of a crucial resistance zone to extend their rally. CoinMarketCap’s Fear and Greed Index at 39 stalls below the neutral territory, indicating that sellers remain dominant.

Senate Republicans release updated CLARITY Act with new crypto ethics restrictions

Senate Republicans released an updated version of the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act on Wednesday following briefing calls with stakeholders. The update adds a package of ethics restrictions targeting digital asset activities by public officials and their spouses.

Hyperliquid, Robinhood could lead crypto’s next bull market as DeFi and TradFi converge
The next crypto bull market could be driven by the growing convergence between blockchain-based financial infrastructure (on-chain) and traditional finance (TradFi), according to Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan. In a report published late Tuesday, Hougan argued that crypto may be showing early signs of a market bottom, with Bitcoin gaining 9% since July 1 even as the NASDAQ 100 declined 6%.
Bitcoin’s potential recovery in the second half hinges on these 4 catalysts
Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen over 34% in the first half of this year as the King Crypto failed to capitalize on a good semester for risk assets despite the woes from the Iran war.