|

What to expect next after BTC/USD break above $50k

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has managed to break above the psychologically round leve of $50k. Can the cryptocurrency challenge the previous high again?

Let’s review the long-term charts to analyse the remainder of the year 2021. Will the 2021 bull run outpace the 2017 bull run?

Chart

Price charts and technical analysis

The BTC/USD is showing a strong bullish recovery after a deep bearish pullback:

  1. Price action has managed to break above the 21 ema zone again.

  2. The bullish momentum is expected to challenge the previous top (blue arrow).

  3. The previous top is a strong resistance zone and could stop the uptrend.

  4. A bearish retracement (orange arrows) could complete an ABC (blue) in wave 4 (pink).

  5. A bullish bounce (green arrow) could take place at the support zone (green box).

  6. A bull flag pattern (grey arrows) however indicates that the immediate uptrend remains valid. In that case, a wave 4’ finished at the recent low.

On the daily chart, we see that the bullish momentum is strong because price action remains above the 21 ema zone for a long time:

  1. The bullish price swing is either a wave C or 3 (orange).

  2. This depends on the price reaction at the resistance zone (red box).

  3. A bearish reversal (red arrow) indicates a wave C and more bearish correction.

  4. A flag pattern (grey arrows) indicates a wave 3 continuation.

Chart

The analysis has been done with the indicators and template from the SWAT method simple wave analysis and trading. For more daily technical and wave analysis and updates, sign-up to our newsletter

Author

Chris Svorcik

Chris Svorcik

Elite CurrenSea

Experience Chris Svorcik has co-founded Elite CurrenSea in 2014 together with Nenad Kerkez, aka Tarantula FX. Chris is a technical analyst, wave analyst, trader, writer, educator, webinar speaker, and seminar speaker of the financial markets.

More from Chris Svorcik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.