|

VeChain price could go all the way

  • VeChain price contraction leads to a massive 40% expansion.
  • Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a bearish momentum divergence.
  • Positive Twitter sentiment blowoff may be a caution flag for traders.

VeChain (VET) price has exploded higher this week, but based on current projections, VET could rally a further 26% before reaching a point of exhaustion. Critical to the race to $0.166 is an expansion in underlying volume. 

VeChain price has only five negative weeks since the November low

The VET technical story since 2020 has provided traders several timely entry points beginning with the double bottom in mid-2020 and then the cup-with-handle breakout in late 2020. The most recent opportunity was the price contraction of the previous two weeks in the form of two doji candlesticks. 

Has the bullish sentiment surrounding VET reached a peak? According to the latest data from Santiment, positive Twitter sentiment had a massive spike on April 4, the day before the breakout above the 361.8% Fibonacci extension of the 2018-2020 bear market. 

Twitter is often belittled as a retail investor platform, but it is populated by many institutional investors. Of course, traders should not base their speculation on one sentiment indicator. Still, it shows that the price strength is being watched closely.

Source: Santiment

Source: Santiment

VeChain technical outlook

Traders need to focus on the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the March correction at $0.141 in the coming days, followed by the target, the 361.8% extension level at $0.166, an additional 26% gain from the current price.

To be generous to the long-term traders and to have a little fun, the cup-with-handle measured move target is $0.373, representing a 183% gain from the current price.

VET/USD weekly chart

VET/USD weekly chart

In light of the extreme social media sentiment and the extreme overbought condition on the weekly chart, traders need to watch the March high at $0.100. The next credible support is the confluence of the 10-week simple moving average (SMA) at $0.070 with the 50% retracement level of the rally off the 2020 lows at $0.051.

Author

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Sheldon McIntyre, CMT

Independent Analyst

Sheldon has 24 years of investment experience holding various positions in companies based in the United States and Chile. His core competencies include BRIC and G-10 equity markets, swing and position trading and technical analysis.

More from Sheldon McIntyre, CMT
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs. 

Luna Classic soars 20% as Do Kwon's sentence hearing looms

Luna Classic surges 20% on Friday, extending its recovery for the fourth consecutive day. Roughly 959 million tokens have been burned in December so far, fueling LUNC's recovery.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000. 

Ethereum strengthens against BTC post-Fusaka, targeting $3,200 breakout

Ethereum trades above $3,100 on Friday, with bulls aiming for a breakout above a two-month-old resistance trendline. Ethereum gains strength against Bitcoin as demand for the major altcoin increases after the Fusaka upgrade.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin (BTC) is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Resistance at $94,150 capped recovery on Wednesday, but in the meantime, bulls have contained downside risks above $90,000.