• Theta price last reached five standard deviations above the mean last week.
  • Historical precedent projects a decline of at least 45%.
  • 10-week simple moving average (SMA) has stabilized price declines in the past.

Theta price engineered a remarkable advance of 44,160% from the March 2020 low to the March high. What makes it even more impressive is that the price has found constant support at or around the 10-week SMA since April 2020. Additionally, THETA traded five standard deviations (StdDEV) above the mean (40-week SMA) in March, putting traders on alert that a correction was near.

Theta price climbed 290% in March

Measuring the distance from the price to a moving average is a valuable tool to identify periods of extreme deviation that the naked eye can’t always pick up. In the case of THETA, the digital token has exceeded five standard deviations from the 40-week SMA just four weeks since the March 2020 low, including last week.

In May 2020, THETA reached more than five standard deviations above the mean for two straight weeks. The other time this occurred was in December 2020. In May, the altcoin crashed 65% but did find support at the 10-week SMA. Later in December, THETA dropped almost 45% but bottomed above the 10-week SMA. 

Based on the previous percentages and averaging out the two to equal 55%, THETA could fall to $7.06, basically a decline of 40% from price at the time of writing.  A test of the 10-week SMA would be an almost 50% decline from the current price and 60% from the March high.

THETA/USD weekly chart

THETA/USD weekly chart

At the very least, THETA has entered a consolidation phase with the potential to extend into a notable decline. The short-term upside is limited and likely to be defined by quick intraday spikes.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Cryptos feed

Latest Crypto News

Latest Crypto News & Analysis

Editors’ Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA braces for a test of $2 amid a potential bull pennant

Cardano (ADA/USD) is extending its recovery this Sunday after a sharp sell-off witnessed a day before. ADA/USD charts a bull pennant on the 12H chart.  A test of the $2 mark appears inevitable if the bullish pattern is confirmed. RSI has regained upside momentum, well above 50.00.

More Cardano News

XLM Price risks further falls towards $0.53 amid double top reversal

XLM/USD is falling for the third straight day on Sunday. $0.53 support appears at risk after the double top reversal on the 1D chart. RSI points south towards the midline as the XLM price eases from record highs.

More Stellar News

Dogecoin: Defending 21-DMA is critical after Musk calls it a ‘hustle’

Elon Musk's appearance on 'SNL' throws DOGE under the bus. DOGE/USD extends sell-off into Sunday, hitting five-day lows. DOGE bulls remain hopeful as 21-DMA support holds, with RSI still bullish.

More Dogecoin News

Ethereum bulls gather strength for a sustained break above $4000

Ethereum bulls take a breather after Saturday’s $500 rally to record highs. The No. 2 coin eyes additional upside after rising wedge breakout on the 4H chart. RSI is in the overbought region, dip buying to keep the uptrend intact.

More Ethereum News


Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Markets revert to mean, but BTC price remains indecisive

Bitcoin price shows considerable strength after springing from the recent crashes. Still, it is uncertain whether the current bullish impulse will morph into a new uptrend or lead to a more profound decline.

Read the weekly forecast