|

These three Bitcoin metrics say a fresh BTC price move is 'imminent'

Bitcoin (BTC $43,140) is showing classic signs that fresh BTC price gains are near, one longtime market participant says.

In a post on X (formerly Twitter) on Dec. 27, trader and popular social media commentator Matthew Hyland predicted “imminent” bullish moves.

Trader on BTC price: “Seems like a move is imminent”

Bitcoin may have flagged over Christmas, dipping to lows of $41,650, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView — but the tide could soon change.

For Hyland, two key BTC price indicators point the way to a short-term reversal.

Coming in the form of Bollinger bands and relative strength index (RSI), these have provided advance notice of upside in recent months.

“Daily Bollinger Bands are back to squeezing to the level that triggered the last two moves up through $30k and $40k. With the Daily RSI at 2-month lows, & the 3-Day MACD currently crossing down with less than 3 days to negate,” he wrote.

  • It seems like a move is imminent here.
BTCUSD

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Bollinger bands constrict

Bollinger bands are a popular volatility indicator, which closely track BTC price action and suggest when volatility could break out.

Currently, the daily-timeframe bands are narrowing after a period of expansion — something which, while not necessarily straightaway, precedes a new round of volatility.

Earlier this year, the bands collapsed to an extremely narrow position, Cointelegraph reported, in the run-up to the recovery above $30,000.

Hyland posted an accompanying chart showing how comparatively tight the bands currently are.

Chart

BTC/USD chart with Bollinger bands data. Source: Matthew Hyland/X

RSI flushes out “oversold” levels

Relative strength index (RSI) has proven a faithful tool for Bitcoin traders during the Q4 bullish comeback.

The classic momentum oscillator, which offers an insight into how overbought or oversold BTC/USD is at a given price, has seen something of a reset on daily timeframes in the second half of December.

BTCUSD

BTC/USD 1-day chart with RSI. Source: TradingView

Now at 53, RSI is firmly below the “overbought” 70 line — and even further below its month-to-date peak of 76.

Longer timeframes are just as promising, as noted last week by veteran trader Peter Brandt.

“Daily RSI currently at lowest levels in over two months; when price was below $27k,” Hyland meanwhile added in a separate X post.

MACD counts down for bears

One other indicator, however, may yet throw a spanner in the works when it comes to a happy new year for Bitcoin bulls.

Chart

BTC/USD 3-day chart with MACD. Source: TradingView

This is moving average convergence divergence (MACD), which on three-day timeframes is threatening a bearish trend flip.

Hyland notes that several days remain in order for the signal to “negate” itself thanks to price action.

“Cross was 100% accurate the whole year leading to lower and higher prices after,” part of further commentary on Dec. 27 read.

Author

Cointelegraph Team

Cointelegraph Team

Cointelegraph

We are privileged enough to work with the best and brightest in Bitcoin.

More from Cointelegraph Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

World Liberty Financial recovers as community votes to unlock treasury funds for USD1 adoption

World Liberty Financial recovers over 3% on Friday, holding ground at a key support trendline. Community begins voting to unlock roughly 5% WLFI treasury funds to incentivize USD1 stablecoin adoption.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.