|

Solana price needs to recover recent losses or SOL will crash 35%

  • Solana price dug deep inside the $115.51 to $144.70 demand zone after the January 20 flash crash.
  • Despite the recent sell-off, SOL can alleviate the bearish outlook by recovering above $135.71.
  • A swing low below $115.51 will create a lower low, triggering a 35% crash to $78.76.

Solana price experienced a crash on January 20, slicing through two crucial barriers. However, SOL has not created a lower low from a high time frame perspective, suggesting that buyers are preventing a further decline.

Solana price at make or break point

Solana price crashed 16% in 24 hours, causing it to slice through the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $140.54 and the weekly support level at $135.71. Interestingly, this development was cushioned by the bullish momentum since the crash occurred inside a daily demand zone that extends from $115.51 to $144.70.

A breakdown of the said demand zone to create a daily candlestick close below $115.51 will create a lower low from a high time frame perspective, indicating that the price wants to head lower. However, Solana price is currently inside this demand zone and has a chance to recover.

A daily candlestick close above the weekly support level at $135.71 and preferably above the 200-day SMA at $140.54 will indicate a resurgence of buyers and indicate that SOL could retest the 50-day SMA coinciding with the daily supply zone, extending from $169.79 to $179.19, constituting a 33% advance.

SOL/USDT 1-day chart

SOL/USDT 1-day chart

On the other hand, if Solana price produces a daily candlestick close below $115.51 it will create a lower low, invalidating the bullish thesis. This development will suggest that a bearish outlook is in play and open the path for a 35% crash to the next daily demand zone that stretches from $65.91 to $78.76.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Chainlink risks further losses in early 2026 despite the ecosystem growth

Chainlink (LINK) is down 2% at press time on Tuesday, adding to a nearly 5% decline in December so far. The oracle token risks a negative close for the fourth straight month, potentially signaling a bearish start to 2026. 

Bitcoin retreats as $90,000 rejection, ETF outflows weigh on sentiment

Bitcoin continues to trade lower on Tuesday after failing to break the key $90,000 resistance level the previous day. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $142.90 on Monday, while Strategy Inc. boosts its cash reserves to $2.19 billion.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.