|

Should Cardano holders prepare for another upswing or a steep correction

  • Cardano price and its holders are in a pickle as ADA trades around $1.20.
  • The $1.22 to $1.35 breaker is a significant hurdle that prevents bulls’ march to $1.60.
  • A daily candlestick close below $1 will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Cardano price shows a slowdown in momentum after a quick run-up from a psychological level. This move faces a massive blockade that could make or break the uptrend for ADA.

Cardano price at inflection point

Cardano price action from February 19 to March 23 set up a V-shaped valley known as “Adam.” This move was followed by a rounded bottom formation referred to as “Eve”. The Adam and Eve formation is a bottom reversal pattern that forecasts a 25% upswing, determined by measuring the depth of the valley and adding it to the breakout point at $1.

Based on the theoretical forecasting methods, the target for ADA is $1.26. After its breakout on March 23, Cardano price quickly rallied 23% but failed to reach its destination. This lack of momentum was due to the bearish breaker formed on January 13. This area extends from $1.22 to $1.35 and is a major hurdle in the bulls’ path.

Clearing this blockade will allow Cardano price to reach its Adam and Even target at $1.26 and trigger a rally to $1.60. In total, this move would constitute a 35% upswing from the current position at $1.17.

ADA/USDT 1-day chart

Supporting this move for Cardano price to $1.60 is IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) model. This index shows that the bulls are already grappling with a major hurdle at $1.17.

Clearing this area opens the path for ADA up to $1.56, where roughly 583,000 addresses that purchased 6.18 billion ADA are “Out of the Money.” Therefore, a move into this area could trigger a spike in selling pressure from the market participants trying to break even. Hence, the upside for Cardano price is capped around this range which extends from $1.43 to $1.70.

ADA GOM

While the technicals point to a tough road ahead for Cardano price, investors need to be prepared for a move in either direction.

A daily candlestick close below $1 will invalidate the bullish thesis for Cardano price and end the Adam and Eve setup. This development could also open the path for bears to crash ADA to $0.85.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade within range amid low retail interest 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple continue to exhibit subdued volatility, consolidating within narrow ranges at the time of writing on Monday. Persistent low retail participation and weak technical structures limit the chances of any extended upside price movements.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.