|

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: SHIB extends losses as whale selling intensifies bearish momentum

  • Shiba Inu price extends correction on Thursday, building on losses from the previous day.
  • On-chain and derivatives data show bearish bias as whales offloading SHIB tokens and Open Interest is declining.
  • The technical outlook suggests further downside, with momentum indicators showing bearish strength.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) price slips below $0.0000077 on Thursday after correcting the previous day. Bearish sentiment is further strengthened as holders offload SHIB, increasing selling pressure and reducing Open Interest (OI) in the derivatives market. On the technical side, weakening momentum suggests the downside pressure on the meme coin will continue.

Shiba Inu whales offload 32.17 billion tokens

Santiment’s Supply Distribution indicates that the number of Shiba Inu’s large-wallet holders is declining, suggesting a bearish outlook.

The metric indicates that the whales holding between 100,000 and 1 million (red line), 1 million and 10 million (yellow line), and 10 million and 100 million (blue line) have shed a total of 32.17 billion SHIB tokens from January 20 to Thursday, thereby increasing selling pressure.

SHIB supply distribution chart. Source: Santiment

On the derivatives side, SHIB’s futures Open Interest (OI) dropped to $92.69 million on Thursday and has been steadily falling since the January 6 high of $145.56 million. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

Shiba Inu open interest chart. Source: Coingalss

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: Bears are in control of the momentum 

Shiba Inu price was rejected at the 50% price retracement level (from the October 6 high of $0.0000130 to the October 10 low of $0.0000067) at $0.0000099 on January 5 and has since been in a downward trend, correcting by over 18% through Sunday. SHIB started the week on a positive note, recovering 4.26% by Tuesday, but failed to sustain the recovery and declined slightly the next day. At the time of writing on Thursday, SHIB is trading down at $0.0000075.

If SHIB continues its downward trend, it could extend the decline toward Sunday’s low of $0.0000073. A close below could extend the further losses toward the October 10 low of $0.0000067.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 41, below the neutral level of 50, and pointing downward, indicating bearish momentum gaining traction. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bearish crossover on January 17, which remains intact with rising red histogram bars below the neutral level, further supporting the negative outlook.

SHIB/USDT daily chart 

On the other hand, if SHIB recovers, it could extend the advance toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.0000081.

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

More from Manish Chhetri
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP and XLM outlook: Mild recovery attempts emerge amid mixed market signals

Ripple and Stellar show mild signs of recovery on Thursday after extending losses earlier this week. XRP is holding above the $1.10 level as bearish momentum begins to fade, while XLM has bounced modestly from a key support zone.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin consolidates above $60,000  – CRV, WLFI, XMR lead gains

The broader cryptocurrency market maintains risk-off sentiment as Bitcoin lingers above $62,000. The mild recovery in BTC fails to lift the Fear and Greed Index, which at 15 continues to signal extreme fear among investors. Still certain altcoins, Curve DAO, World Liberty Financial, and Monero, have emerged as top performers over the last 24 hours.

Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand

Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".

CFTC proposes framework to review terrorism, war, assassination-related contracts on prediction markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Wednesday proposed amendments to Regulation 40.11, seeking to establish a formal framework for reviewing prediction market contracts. The proposed framework targets contracts linked to terrorism, assassination, war, gaming, or conduct that is unlawful under federal or state law.
Bitcoin: After the bloodbath, everyone looks at $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers above $62,000 at the time of writing on Friday, weighed down by growing risk-off sentiment due to persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and sticky macroeconomic uncertainty. The institutional sell-off continued to wreak havoc on capital flows, with spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows.