|

SafeMoon price trends lower, lagging behind Bitcoin and Ethereum

  • SafeMoon price did not experience the broader crypto spike on Wednesday.
  • Selling pressure continues as SFM hits a previously identified short opportunity.
  • Further downside movement is likely as buyers continue to avoid SafeMoon.

SafeMoon price action has been a major disappointment for long and short-term hodlers. Persistent selling pressure has placed SafeMoon at risk of creating new three-month lows.

SafeMoon price continues to nosedive, new three month lows increasingly likely

SafeMoon price triggered theoretical a short idea previously identified on March 10, 2022. The setup was a sell stop order at $0.00105, a stop loss at $0.00122, and a profit target at $0.0000071. Support at near the all-time low at $0.000096 was expected, but thus far, sellers appear to be motivated to push new lows.

Unfortunately for SafeMoon price, a reprieve is increasingly unlikely. There are no major gaps between the Tenkan-Sen and the bodies of the 4-hour candlesticks. In other words, a mean reversion higher should not be expected. The Relative Strength Index and the %B oscillators also point to continued bearish price action.

However, there is a Kumo Twist present. Kumo Twists are periods when Senkou Span A crosses Senkou Span B (the Cloud turns red to green or green to red). It is very common to see a swing high or low develop around the period of a Kumo Twist, especially if an instrument has been trending. Despite the Kumo Twists, buyers remain elusive and avoidant.

SFM/USDT 4-hour Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

A close below the 3-month low of $0.000096 could trigger a flash crash down to the $0.000080 value area before any support for SafeMoon price would be found.

If bulls want to mitigate any further downside pressure, they’ll need to push SafeMoon price to a close at or above $0.0010. In that scenario, SFM would close above the Tenkan-Sen, the Kijun-Sen, and return inside the prior falling wedge.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.