Ripple Price Prediction: Why XRP's rebound might not signal bullish comeback yet

Ripple (XRP) price regains strength for the second day in a row, trading slightly above $3.00 at the time of writing on Monday. The uptick in crypto prices across the market follows an extremely volatile week, marked by key macro events including the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hold and the announcement of United States (US) President Donald Trump’s higher tariffs, most of which are expected to take effect on August 7.

XRP shows signs of extending the uptrend, but first traders will be looking for a daily close above $3.00 to affirm the bullish grip. Interest in the token could increase in the coming sessions, especially with the derivatives market Open Interest (OI) stabilizing after a significant drop.

XRP futures open interest and funding rate stabilize

The derivatives market saw a significant drop following the run-up to July peak levels. According to CoinGlass data, XRP futures OI, which peaked at $10.94 billion on July 18, declined to $7.05 billion amid last week’s sell-off before rising slightly and averaging around $7.23 billion on Monday.

Since OI is the notional value of outstanding futures or options contracts, a persistent decline indicates a lack of investor conviction in the price of XRP sustaining an uptrend. 

If the green line on the chart below holds above the $7 billion and gradually rises in upcoming sessions, an increase in speculative demand could drive the next leg up to the record high of $3.66, reached on July 18.

XRP Futures Open Interest | Source: 

As for funding rates, the chart below highlights the decline that preceded last week’s sell-off. The XRP futures weighted funding rate experienced a steady decline from its July peak of 0.0524%, approaching the mean line before it lifted slightly to 0.0090% at the time of writing. Positive and rising funding rates indicate bullish sentiment as traders increase exposure to long positions. 

XRP Futures Weighted Funding Rate | Source: CoinGlass

Technical outlook: XRP could extend recovery 

XRP price holds above its short-term support at $3.00, representing an 11% increase from Saturday’s low of $2.73. The cross-border money remittance token also holds above key support levels provided by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.79 and the 100-day EMA at $2.79, affirming XRP’s bullish outlook.

Bullish momentum is building as observed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is rising above the midline and targeting overbought territory. If the RSI supports the uptrend, buying pressure will tick up amid a steady increase in risk-on sentiment.

XRP/USDT daily chart

Key areas of interest for traders range from the next resistance level at $3.33 and the record high of $3.66. If support at $3.00 is tested and broken, the 50-day EMA will come in handy to absorb the selling pressure, with other tentative support areas provided by the 100-day EMA at $2.58 and the 200-day EMA at $2.34.