|

Polkadot dives below key support as DOT eyes $35

  • Polkadot price moves below a fundamental Ichimoku support level for the first time since September 30th.
  • 27% drop ahead for Polkadot as little support structure exists between the Friday open and the projected low.
  • A pullback in Polkadot is necessary to maintain a healthy and growing market.

Polkadot price has moved below the daily Kijun-Sen for the first time since September 30th. This could trigger some increased selling pressure that extends through the weekend.

Polkadot price target for a down move is limited to $35

Polkadot price has a substantial gap between support levels on the daily Ichimoku chart. The near-term support levels of the Tenken-Sen ($48.75) and the Kijun-Sen ($46.88) have failed to act as support. Below those two Ichimoku levels, no more Ichimoku support exists, only a high volume node at $41. But if that fails, then traders should expect a swift move lower.

The 2021 volume profile is extremely thin below $41, which could act as an accelerant to push Polkadot price lower towards $37. However, buyers may be waiting around the $37 level to re-enter because it contains the final Ichimoku support level, Senkou Span B, and the 2021 Volume Point Of Control. The combination of those two levels provides an overwhelmingly supportive price zone.

However, the anticipated bearish sell-off may not play out. The oscillators show that some pullback levels have been reached and that downside pressure may not be as low as projected. The Relative Strength Index is testing the oversold levels of 50 and 40 – which have held firm over the three and half months. Additionally, the Optex Bands have moved out of overbought extremes and entered into neutral territory. Finally – and most importantly – the Composite Index has reached its historical support level and has created hidden bullish divergence.

DOT/USDT Daily Ichimoku Chart

A daily close of Polkadot price above $53 would invalidate any near-term bearish sentiment.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.