|

Is optimism among Bitcoin traders a signal of a bigger BTC breakout to come?

  • Bitcoin’s rebound above $21,000 in January has resulted in euphoria, market participants are optimistic for the second time after July. 
  • The overall supply of BTC on exchanges has dropped from 11.85% to 6.65% Year-on-Year, signaling a rise in self-custody and a decline in selling pressure.
  • Experts believe Bitcoin’s rally is a signal of a bigger bullish breakout in 2023. 

Bitcoin price climbed above the key $21,000 level on January 18, after the release of lower-than-expected US inflation data in the form of the Producer Price Index (PPI), fueled a bullish narrative for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, among investors. Based on data from crypto aggregator Santiment, the level of euphoria among traders is now the second-highest since July 2022, when the inflation outlook had also moderated and the US Federal Reserve was hinting at reducing the pace of interest rate hikes . 

BTC holders believe the recent Bitcoin price rally is a sign of an imminent bullish breakout in the asset in 2023. 

Also read: Bitcoin recovery fuels NFT growth, digital collectibles garner big interest as BTC crosses $21,550

Bitcoin optimism among traders climbs, is BTC price ready for a breakout?

Bitcoin price wiped out losses from the FTX contagion and hit a four-month peak of $21,576 on January 18. The asset’s climb above the $21,000 level generated elevated levels of euphoria among market participants, according to Santiment, a market sentiment data provider. Bitcoin’s rebound above the key level marked the second-highest level of optimism since July. 
Euphoria among BTC traders

Euphoria among BTC traders 

Another sign investors are more bullish on the leading crypto is that the overall supply of Bitcoin on exchanges has dropped, suggesting selling pressure on the asset will ease.

Crypto exchange balances of Bitcoin declined

Crypto exchange balances of Bitcoin declined

The Year-on-Year BTC supply has dropped from 11.85% to 6.65% signaling a rise in self-custody. This suggests investors are hoarding the asset ‘off exchange’ for the long-term and has further fueled a bullish narrative for Bitcoin. 

Experts believe Bitcoin is preparing for a bullish breakout in 2023

Bitcoin market participants believe the asset’s recent gains, yielding 30% to holders in the two-week period between January 3 and 17, is a precursor of a bullish breakout in 2023. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Editor's Picks

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery slows amid incessant capital outflows

The cryptocurrency remains in a broader corrective bias on Friday, despite majors such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) holding slightly higher than early-week support levels.

Cardano: Whale selling, cautious derivatives limit ADA rebound

Cardano is trading near $0.170 at the time of writing on Friday after staging a modest rebound from last week's sharp correction. However, the recovery remains fragile as large holders have resumed reducing their positions, adding fresh selling pressure to ADA.

Experts agree: Bitcoin nears bottom, but weak demand raises doubts

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $63,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rebounding from the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $62,000, a level widely viewed as key long-term support.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bulls attempt comeback as bearish strength fades

Pi Network is trading at around $0.120 on Friday after a modest recovery the previous day. Despite this recent rebound, traders should be cautious as a scheduled unlock of 14.8 million PI tokens on Friday could limit the token's recovery potential by increasing market supply.

Experts agree: Bitcoin nears bottom, but weak demand raises doubts
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $63,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rebounding from the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $62,000, a level widely viewed as key long-term support. The recovery may suggest that Bitcoin has found a floor after a sharp correction that spanned more than a month, but some warning signs persist.