|

Ethereum price to retest $3,600 as ETH bulls sustain above a crucial barrier

  • Ethereum price has flipped the 50-day SMA at $3,060 and held above it.
  • A bounce off this barrier is likely to propel ETH by 15% to $3,600.
  • A breakdown of the $3,060 support level will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Ethereum price managed to push through a crucial hurdle and flip into a support floor after the second attempt. A resurgence of buying pressure will likely propel ETH to a new local top.

Ethereum price needs bullish momentum

Ethereum price sliced through the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on February 9 but failed to sustain this uptrend, leading to a correction. The bulls came together during this pullback and bounced off the $2,823 support level, triggering a 12% ascent. This move set a swing high at $3,187.

The second attempt at conquering the 50-day SMA was successful, and ETH currently hovers above this barrier at $3,060. A resurgence of buying pressure is likely to kick-start a 15% rally to $3,600 - a confluence of the 100-day and 200-day SMAs.

In a highly bullish case, Ethereum price could break above this confluence and make its way to the weekly resistance barrier at $3,951. This move would bring the total uptrend to 25%.

ETH/USDT 4-hour chart

ETH/USDT 4-hour chart

The bullish outlook depends on Ethereum price sustaining above the 50-day SMA at $3,060. Therefore, a four-hour candlestick close below this level will suggest that ETH bulls are not willing or unable to push the asset higher.

In this case, investors can expect Ethereum price to slide lower and retest the $2,823 support level. Here, buyers can band together for a third attempt at an uptrend. 

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.