|

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH/USD respects the descending trendline, can $420 support hold?

  • Ethereum falls victim to increased selling activities under $430; the 100 SMA is in line to provide initial support.
  • ETH/USD buyers focus on establishing higher support above $420 in order to avert possible losses towards $400.

Ethereum recently hit a two year high following the sustained breakout above $400. Ether climbed multiple resistance zone to trade the new 2020 high around $446. Unfortunately, the journey to $500 was short-lived with $446 acting as a temporary stopper. Since then, ETH/USD has narrowed down with losses testing support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level taken between the last drop from $446 to a swing low of $365.51.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is dancing at $423 amid the search for support, preferably above $420. The sharp declines dominating the market at the moment come after Ether briefly stepped above $430 but failed to sustain gains towards $440.

The RSI is reflecting the free-fall with a sharp drop towards the oversold. Moreover, the Elliot Wave Oscillator has begun another bearish session. In other words, the path of least resistance is downwards.

For now, the 100 SMA is providing immediate support, only that chances of support holding at $420 are growing slimmer as the bearish momentum heightens. Other key support areas to keep in Monday for both the Asian session and the European sessions on Monday are the 61.8% Fibonacci level (weekend support), $410, $400 (former resistance) and $380.

ETH/USD 1-hour chart

ETH/USD price chart

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.