• Dogecoin price closes below the lower trend line of a symmetrical triangle pattern, hinting at lower prices.
  • May’s declining trend line at $0.223 provides support as the cryptocurrency complex suffers another rough day.
  • Bearish Death Cross pattern on the 12-hour chart may intensify the downward pressure on DOGE.

Dogecoin price rebound from the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on June 22 marked a bullish departure from the weakness that branded price action through much of May and June. The price action proceeding the bounce from the low formed a symmetrical triangle pattern that triggered today with a 12-hour close below the triangle’s lower trendline. It is a bearish development, provoking some concern about DOGE intentions moving forward, but May’s declining trend line is the final judge.

Dogecoin price may be in potential bear trap 

On June 22, Dogecoin price initiated a compelling rally off the 200-day SMA at $0.150 with above-average volume and followed by a 23% gain on June 23, the largest up day since the 25% gain on May 13. The notable jump in DOGE volume combined with the conviction of the rebound from the strategically important moving average pointed to prominent investor interest as big money tends to gravitate towards actionable support levels that offer great value.  

The significance of the bullish bid quickly lifted Dogecoin price to the intersection of May’s declining trend line at $0.288 with the 23.60% retracement of the May-June correction at $0.296. Since the June 25, high DOGE coiled in a symmetrical triangle pattern and released the rally's price compression. 

As a continuation pattern, it suggested better price outcomes for the meme token, but today’s close below the triangle’s lower trend line dictates a rethink of the original bullish outlook. Moreover, the bearish Death Cross pattern on the 12-hour chart warns DOGE investors projecting an easy path to higher prices. 

The DOGE symmetrical triangle measured move is 21%. Based on the position of the triangle’s lower trend line today, the Dogecoin downside price target is $0.193, taking the meme token below May’s declining trend line currently at $0.223.

However, today’s drop could be a bear trap as the pressure of a weak cryptocurrency market, and rising enthusiasm surrounding Baby Doge Coin have put Dogecoin price on the defensive. Thus, as long as May’s declining trend line at $0.223 holds, DOGE has the basis on which to initiate a convincing rebound.

DOGE/USD 12-hour chart

DOGE/USD 12-hour chart

If Dogecoin price fails to hold May’s declining trend line, DOGE could be overcome with sustained selling pressure, pressing the digital asset to test the 200-day SMA at $0.166 and possibly sweep the June 22 low $0.152, presenting a 20% decline from the current price.

The convincing response to the 200-day SMA by Dogecoin price was lead by prominent investors. Nevertheless, the breakdown from the symmetrical triangle today has the bullish outlook under pressure as $0.223 provides solid intra-day support, making it the final word on the future outlook.

Here, FXStreet's analysts evaluate where DOGE could be heading next with a brief technical and on-chain analysis on Dogecoin price.

 

Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Cryptos feed Join Telegram

Recommended content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

XRP bulls in spotlight as SEC v. Ripple court filing hints at early closure

XRP bulls in spotlight as SEC v. Ripple court filing hints at early closure

XRP price could make or break based on the outcome of Ripple Labs case with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). In the latest twist and turn in the courtroom drama, Ripple (XRP), which is a cross-border payment settlement firm.

More Ripple News

Bitcoin struggles to fly despite clear skies up to $19,280

Bitcoin struggles to fly despite clear skies up to $19,280

Bitcoin price is struggling to overcome a small hurdle after a fresh start to the week. A closer look reveals that BTC could easily trigger a rally but is unable to do so despite a lack of resistance to the upside.

More Bitcoin News

AVAX's traders bet should be on Avalanche bulls triggering a 15% rally

AVAX's traders bet should be on Avalanche bulls triggering a 15% rally

AVAX price has broken out of a critical hurdle and pattern, signaling the start of a quick run-up. However, bulls face another blockade that needs to be overcome to trigger an extended rally.

More Avalanche News

Ethereum bulls come to the rescue with a plan to revisit $1,500

Ethereum bulls come to the rescue with a plan to revisit $1,500

Ethereum price set up a local top after a quick run-up over the last week. This move was followed by a tight consolidation that resulted in a breakdown, allowing sidelined buyers to step up. As a result, ETH is primed for a quick run-up.  

More Ethereum news

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Assessing likelihood of 80% rally for BTC before 2023

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Assessing likelihood of 80% rally for BTC before 2023

A massive bullish move is coming. In the last two articles, we have taken a look at why this is possible from a technical and on-chain perspective. In this weekly forecast, we will take a look at Bitcoin’s monthly performance for the last decade and determine if this bullish outlook is possible. 

Read full analysis

BTC

ETH

XRP