|

Dogecoin Price Prediction: On-chain metrics show whales won’t let the dog off the leash

  • Dogecoin price shows a persistent influx of active user wallets and dormant tokens recirculating.
  • DOGE price has been rejected at the $0.07 barrier.
  • Invalidation of the bearish thesis remains a breach above $0.112.

Technical and on-chain analysis note significant influence of high market cap investors on the Dogecoin price.

Dogecoin price falls as expected

Last week, Dogecoin price rallied an impressive 25% in just a few hours. A contrarian forecast was issued proposing that the uptrend move was more of a sucker’s rally than the start of a new bull run. The $0.084 level was noted as an extreme level of interest for sidelined bears to jump back into the market. 

Shortly after the contrarian piece was published, the DOGE price fell in penny-from-Eiffel style back into the $0.067 price range, losing 25% of its market value in just a few hours. A textbook smart money fakeout forecasted ahead of time for subscribers at FXStreet.

Dogecoin price currently auctions at $0.068. A sudden bullish spike above $0.07 was witnessed during the London session recovering 5% of losses. However, the New York bears came back with full force and have managed to reject the $0.07 access to the world’s favorite meme coin.

tm.doge/8/25/22

DOGE/USDT 3-Day Chart

Looking underneath the hood, it appears that large holding whales have influenced Dogecoin price throughout the year. For instance, a record-high influx of 15.5 billion dormant tokens came into the circulating market in October when the DOGE price traded at $0.25. 

The world’s notorious meme coin fell sharply weeks after losing over 75% of its market value. On June 18, an additional 5.15 billion came into circulation at the $0.067 price level. DOGE price has not been able to successfully hold grounds above the level for more than a few days throughout the summer. 

Lastly, in February of 2022, Dogecoin saw a yearly record high of 818,000 active wallets in one day when the price traded at $0.116. It appears that DOGE has a strong influence near this level, as last week’s bearish forecast also utilized $0.112 as the bearish invalidation point.

tm/doge/santimenet8/25/22

Santiment’s Price, Active Wallets & Dormant Circulation Indicator

When combined, it appears that the Dogecoin price is on a tight leash by highly influential large-cap market players. Thus, this thesis will remain bearish until $0.112 is breached. If the bulls can breach this level, they could induce an impressive 300% rally, targeting $0.25. Until then, $0.02 DOGE price remains a possibility.

In the following video, our analysts deep dive into the price action of Dogecoin, analyzing key levels of interest in the market. -FXStreet Team

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

XRP edges lower despite record on-chain activity and steady ETF inflows

Ripple is trading under pressure at the time of writing on Thursday, after bulls failed to break the short-term resistance at $2.22. The reversal may extend toward Monday’s low of $1.98, especially if risk-off sentiment persists in the broader cryptocurrency market.

Aster lags recovery as perpetual DEX releases new roadmap on infrastructure, utility and ecosystem 

Aster is consolidating above $1.05 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market. The token native to the perpetual Decentralised Exchange had recovered from Monday's low of $0.88 but stalled around $1.08 on Wednesday.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: Bulls aim breakout as RSI and MACD flash buy signal

Hyperliquid struggles to surface above $35 as a local resistance trendline caps the two-day recovery run. Hyperliquid Strategies Inc. (PURR) transfered 12 million HYPE tokens to Hypercore and staked 425,000 tokens, which reflects confidence. 

Cardano builds recovery momentum as sentiment improves

Cardano is extending its recovery for the second consecutive day, trading at around $0.4400 at the time of writing on Thursday. If this recovery leg from Monday's $0.3707 level steadies in the coming days, Cardano bulls could push toward a bullish December.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: BTC steadies as data suggests local bottom

Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday, extending its recovery by 5% so far this week. On the institutional front, a modest outflow from US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) marks a slowdown from previous weeks and signals a reduction in selling pressure, further supporting BTC’s recovery.