|

Chainlink price correction imminent after 35% rally liquidates $12 million worth of LINK in 72 hours

  • Chainlink price rallied to breach the $10.00 mark over the weekend, posting a 35% increase.
  • The rise in price led to about $12.3 million worth of short positions being liquidated in three days.
  • The MVRV ratio noted the largest spike since August 2021, reaching into the opportunity zone and suggesting an imminent correction.

Chainlink price observed a massive rally in the past few days, which brought profits to a significant chunk of LINK holders. However, the altcoin seems to have found its top around the $10 mark, as LINK is most likely preparing for a major crash soon.

Chainlink price to see downfall

Chainlink price trading at $10.15 has managed to rise by about 35% in the past three days. The rally, which almost even continued on Monday, has pulled the altcoin up from $7.57, noting another 8% rise during the intra-day trading hours before correcting to the trading price.

Consequently, Chainlink price has successfully established the 50-, 100- and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) into support. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests a different story. This is because the recent rally resulted in Chainlink's price shooting up, which drove the indicator to the point where it was overbought. 

LINK/USD 1-day chart

LINK/USD 1-day chart

But that did not stop the investors. However, that may not be the case for soon. The red candle noted at the time of writing suggests a pause is likely, which could result in a cool-down. Plus, as long as the market is overheated, price correction is highly possible.

Presently, $10.00 stands as the first line of defense; losing this would bring Chainlink's price to test $9.00 as the critical support level. If the bearishness still persists, further decline cannot be ruled out.

But on the off chance that Chainlink price manages to bounce back from $10.00, it could see some rise, potentially even to the $11 mark, invalidating the bearish thesis.

The future of Chainlink price is likely to decline

Apart from the price indicators, there are other factors in the market that suggest a slip in Chainlink price is the next likely outcome. Firstly, the MVRV ratio is indicating an imminent decline in price.

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is an indicator that is used to assess the average profit/loss of investors who purchase an asset. The 30-day MVRV ratio measures the average profit/loss of investors who purchased an asset in the past month. 

In the case of Chainlink, the MVRV ratio is sitting at 25.22% Thus, these investors are likely to sell their holdings to realize profits, which could trigger a sell-off. As seen on the chart, when MVRV hits a point beyond 20%, LINK has undergone major corrections, hence, this area is termed a danger zone.

Chainlink MVRV ratio

Chainlink MVRV ratio

But this would bring profits to the ones who made money during the price rise. The ones that lost money in the same duration - short traders - will also attempt to make their investment back.
The rally led to $12.3 million worth of short liquidations in the last three days, which the traders will attempt to correct. 

Chainlink short liquidations

Chainlink short liquidations

This will increase the bearish pressure on Chainlink, which, when combined with the pressure to sell, could lead to a decrease in price. While a massive drawdown is not expected, it cannot completely be ruled out.

 

Author

Aaryamann Shrivastava

Aaryamann Shrivastava is a Cryptocurrency journalist and market analyst with over 1,000 articles under his name. Graduated with an Honours in Journalism, he has been part of the crypto industry for more than a year now.

More from Aaryamann Shrivastava
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM rebound amid mixed signals

Ripple and Stellar extend their recovery on Thursday after finding support at key technical levels. However, mixed derivatives and on-chain data for both altcoins suggest that traders remain cautious and have yet to show strong conviction in a sustained rebound. Derivatives data shows a mixed and cautious outlook among traders.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin steadies above $76,000 amid Fed rate hike – Privacy coins rally

Bitcoin holds steady around $76,000 at press time on Thursday, showing near-term strength as the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 bps. Privacy coins, Zcash and Dash, post double-digit gains over the last 24 hours, emerging as top performers. Bitcoin hovers around $76,200 on Thursday holding steady after a 3% decline on Tuesday.

Bitcoin slips below $76.7K True Market Mean amid weak demand — Glassnode
Bitcoin (BTC) has slipped below its recent trading range and the True Market Mean at $76,700, but the top crypto has remained relatively resilient despite a failed Clarity Act Senate vote, FOMC rate hike and a broader altcoin sell-off.
Bitcoin, crypto market see muted activity following FOMC rate hike

Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $76,000 on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds target range to 3.75%-4.00%. The unanimous 12-0 decision marked the Fed’s first rate hike since July 2023.

Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.