|

Cardano price to provide a long opportunity before rallying 55%

  • Cardano price hit $1.20 after experiencing massive buying pressure over the past three days.
  • Investors can expect ADA to retrace to $1 before triggering a 55% ascent to $1.55.
  • A daily candlestick close below $0.857 will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Cardano price exploded after consolidating for a few days in the second week of March. This run-up pushed ADA through multiple hurdles – it is now ready for a retracement before another leg-up.

Cardano price comes back to life

Cardano price moved sideways from March 7 to 18 and before beginning a 50% rally that pushed it past the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 100-day SMA at $0.954 and $1.1, respectively.

This uptrend, while impressive, has caused the Momentum Reversal Indicator (MRI) to trigger a red ‘one’ sell signal. The technical formation forecasts a one-to-four red candlestick downswing, so, sidelined investors can prepare to pick up ADA at a discounted price.

The resulting pullback is likely to shatter the 100-day SMA and push Cardano price to retest the $1 psychological level. Here, buyers can accumulate long positions in expectation of ADA reversing and going higher again.

The rally that originates here is likely to slice through the yearly open at $1.31 and tag the $1.45 weekly resistance barrier. Here, buyers might face a slight issue but clearing it could propel ADA toward the daily supply zone extending from $1.55 to $1.76.

Interestingly, the 200-day SMA coincides with the lower limit of the said demand zone and that is where Cardano price is likely to form a local top.

ADA/USDT 1-day chart

ADA/USDT 1-day chart

While the outlook for Cardano price is bullish, a minor pullback seems likely. However, if the selling pressure is heavier, leading to a breach of the $1 barrier, it will signal a more profound weakness among buyers.

A daily candlestick close below $0.857 will invalidate the bullish thesis for Cardano price. This development will open the path for ADA to revisit the $0.776 support level. Here, buyers may set up a double bottom, however, and give the uptrend another go.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Cardano Price Forecast: Weak momentum puts ADA recovery at risk

Cardano is trading below $0.222 on Thursday after failing to sustain gains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average near $0.228 the previous day. Weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum continue to weigh on sentiment, while a break below the 100-day EMA could push ADA lower. Derivatives data shows a cautious outlook for Cardano.

Ripple and Stellar outlook: XRP and XLM recovery stalls below EMAs

Ripple and Stellar remain under pressure on Thursday as both struggle to sustain their recent recovery attempts. XRP trades below $1.36, while XLM slips beneath $0.183, as mixed derivatives metrics, weakening momentum indicators and heating market conditions suggest cautious market sentiment. Derivatives data shows weakening conditions for Ripple and Stellar.

Zcash Price Forecast: ZEC reclaims $1,300 as ETF inflow hits 30-day high

Zcash price hovers above $1,300 on Thursday, sustaining its 15% gains so far this week with three straight days of recovery. Institutional and retail appeal is returning, with over $15 million in inflows recorded on Wednesday and ZEC futures Open Interest rising to a 30-day high of $2.89 billion. The technical outlook for ZEC indicates an upside bias as recovery gains traction.

Bitcoin derivatives improve, but $87,000 sell wall looms
Bitcoin (BTC) showed signs of recovery on Wednesday as derivatives positioning improved, but sell risk grew between $86,500 and $87,500, where sell orders and leveraged liquidation clusters could limit further gains.
Bitcoin: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gains
Bitcoin (BTC) extends losses this week, trading below $82,500 as of Friday as selling pressure continues. Weakening institutional demand supports this pullback as BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to record a two-week withdrawal streak, reaching $146.19 million in net outflows through Thursday.