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Cardano Price Forecast: ADA eyes recovery as bullish momentum builds

  • Cardano price hovers around $0.92 on Monday after rebounding from its key support at $0.84 last week.
  • Derivatives and on-chain data show rising Open Interest and stablecoin market capitalization, hinting at improving sentiment.
  • Technical indicators point to bearish exhaustion, suggesting room for an upside rally.

Cardano (ADA) price is showing signs of recovery after rebounding from a crucial support level last week. This price optimism is further supported by rising Open Interest and stablecoin market capitalization, pointing toward improving market sentiment. The technical indicators suggest that the recent bearish momentum may be fading, opening the door for a potential upside rally.

Cardano’s derivatives and on-chain data hint at recovery 

CoinGlass data show that Cardano’s futures’ OI at exchanges rose from $1.54 billion on Friday to $1.77 billion on Monday, nearing its record high of $1.87 billion. Rising OI represents new or additional money entering the market and new buying, which could fuel the current ADA price rally.

ADA Open Interest chart. Source: Coinglass

ADA Open Interest chart. Source: Coinglass

Data from crypto intelligence tracker DefiLlama shows that Cardano’s stablecoin market capitalization has been consistently rising since the end of July and currently stands at $38.58 on Monday. Such stablecoin activity and value increase on the ADA project indicate a bullish outlook, as they boost network usage and can attract more users to the ecosystem.

Cardano stablecoins Mcap chart. Source: DefiLlama 

Cardano stablecoins Mcap chart. Source: DefiLlama 

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA finds support around a key zone

Cardano price broke above the descending trendline (drawn by connecting multiple highs since early December) on August 13 and rallied, retesting its key psychological level of $1 the next day. However, ADA failed to sustain the upward momentum. It declined 5.4% last week, rebounding from its broken trendline support, which roughly coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.82, making it a key support zone. At the start of this week, on Monday, it hovers at around $0.92.

If ADA continues its upward trend, it could extend the rally toward its August 14 high of $1.02. A successful close above this could extend the gains toward its yearly high at $1.17.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 58 above its neutral level of 50, indicating bullish momentum gaining traction. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) lines converge against each other, indicating indecision among the traders.

ADA/USDT daily chart 

ADA/USDT daily chart 

However, if ADA faces a correction, it could extend the decline toward its daily support at $0.84. 

Author

Manish Chhetri

Manish Chhetri is a crypto specialist with over four years of experience in the cryptocurrency industry.

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