|

Cardano price eyes an 18% rally after $2.5 million long liquidations

  • Cardano price punished early bulls by collecting the sell-stop liquidity resting below the September 2 swing low at $0.448, hinting at a reversal.
  • Now, investors can expect ADA to kick-start a recovery rally to the $0.505 hurdle.
  • A daily candlestick close below $0.0435 will create a lower low and invalidate the bullish outlook for ADA.

Cardano price has been repeating this liquidity fractal pattern since June 18 and triggered one just a few hours ago. The fractal is simple and aims to collect the sell-stop liquidity before an explosive move to the upside. 

As seen in the chart below, roughly $2.5 million worth of long positions were liquidated as ADA sliced below September 2 lows. 

ADA liquidations 

ADA liquidations 

Cardano price punishes bulls

Cardano price reversed shortly after creating the seventh liquidity run, which pushed ADA up by roughly 7%. This reversal knocked the altcoin below the September 2 swing low at $0.448, collecting the sell-stop liquidity and punishing greedy bulls.

The eighth liquidity run is yet to recover above $0.448 and produce a decisive close above it to confirm the start of a recovery rally. If successful, investors can easily expect ADA to retest the immediate hurdle at $0.472. Depending on the buyers’ strength, the altcoin could attempt a retest of $0.505 if the $0.472 hurdle is flipped into a support floor.

In total, this move would constitute a 12% ascent and is likely where the upside will be capped for Cardano price.  

From a market makers’ perspective, ADA could extend to $0.530 to fill the imbalance or Fair Value Gp (FVG), bringing the total gain to 17%. 

ADA/USDT 12-hour chart

ADA/USDT 12-hour chart

While things are looking up for Cardano price, a failure to recover above $0.448 will be the first sign of weakness in the market. If ADA produces a lower low below the $0.435 level, it will invalidate the bullish thesis for ADA and potentially trigger a sell-off to July 13 swing low at $0.400.

Note: 

The video attached below talks about Bitcoin price and its potential outlook, which could influence Cardano price.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple ticks higher as selling pressure eases amid whale net outflows

Ripple edges higher near $1.30 on Wednesday, building on a broader crypto market recovery wave. The uptick comes amid the US midterm elections, in which the Democratic Party has clinched victory in the Senate and is on track to gain control of Congress.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP extend advance as US Dollar slides on Democrats' US midterm victory

Bitcoin trades above $78,000 on Wednesday as risk-on sentiment improves in the broader cryptocurrency market. Ethereum mirrors BTC’s recovery outlook, hovering above $2,300. Ripple similarly exchanges hands above $1.28, marking two consecutive days of gains.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Bullish breakout hopes fade as PI approaches record lows

Pi Network (PI) is trading in the red on Wednesday, hovering around $0.0755, with a downside risk toward the $0.0704 record low. The retail activity in the derivatives market declines as PI futures Open Interest plunges to nearly $7.50 million.

US midterm elections set up a potential volatility shock for BTC

Bitcoin holds above the key 200-day EMA but remains capped by the 100-day EMA, with a breakout in either direction likely to determine its next directional bias. Analysts remain bullish on BTC but expect a significant price swing in either direction, favoring volatility-based strategies over directional bets.

Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.