Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as none of the key levels were ever reached.

Today’s BTC/USD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm Tokyo time Friday.

Long Trades

  • Long entry at a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $3,830 or $3,732.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

Short Trade

  • Short entry after a bearish price action reversal on the H1 time frame following the next touch of $4,100.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is $50 in profit by price.

  • Remove 50% of the position as profit when the trade is $50 in profit by price and leave the remainder of the position to run.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

BTC/USD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the picture still looked bullish, but a little less so. I would remain cautiously bullish if the price holds above $3,830 but it looked like we are going to need a deeper pullback, perhaps to that level, before the price would resume its rise. This was a good call as the price has edged up very lightly over the past 24 hours but little has happened, My analysis from yesterday still applies: we will probably need a deeper pull-back before the price can continue its rise, so I would only take a bullish bias if we get a retracement to the support at $3,830 and a firm bullish bounce there.

BTC

Concerning the USD, there will be a release of Core Durable Goods Orders at 1:30pm London time.

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