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Bitcoin's resilient surge: Institutional bets and policy shifts fuel recovery

From panic to optimism: Bitcoin's five-day collapse reverses as bulls regain control

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is leading a remarkable recovery after enduring a brutal five-day sell-off, demonstrating its resilience amid a shifting market landscape. The crypto giant found Support at $78,100, a level that acted as a springboard for a strong comeback, reclaiming the crucial $90,320 zone and briefly touching $94,204 before a slight retracement.

Institutional demand and policy shifts drive recovery

BlackRock and institutional inflows provide market stability

Bitcoin's resurgence is supported by renewed institutional interest. BlackRock's $150 billion model portfolio now incorporates Bitcoin, signalling mainstream adoption among asset managers. This has fueled speculation that other financial giants may follow suit, increasing liquidity and stability in the market. Additionally, Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of over $350 million in the past 24 hours, reversing the previous week's outflows, according to CoinShares.

Regulatory developments bolster market confidence

The policy landscape is also shifting in Bitcoin's favour. President Trump's recent confirmation that the U.S. will establish a strategic reserve of cryptocurrencies—including Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano—has boosted market sentiment. This move indicates a shift from regulatory uncertainty toward government-backed participation in digital assets, providing long-term Support for Bitcoin's adoption.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's upcoming decision on interest rates is another critical factor in Bitcoin's price trajectory. A more dovish stance from the Fed could weaken the U.S. dollar, benefiting Bitcoin and other risk assets.

Short-term technical outlook: Key levels to watch

After bouncing from the $78,100 low, Bitcoin has gained over $14,847 in just three days, reflecting a strong 19% rally. The price action suggests that the bullish momentum could continue if key support levels hold.

  • Key resistance: $94,200 – A sustained move above this level could lead to a retest of $96,400, where the recent sell-off began. If bulls clear this hurdle, the next upside target would be $100,000.

  • Key support: $90,320 – This remains the most critical level for bulls to defend. A failure to hold above this area could lead to a retest of $87,200 and potentially $84,200.

  • Momentum shift: The RSI is trending upwards, indicating growing bullish strength, while on-chain data from Glassnode shows an increase in whale accumulation, signalling confidence among large holders.

Conclusion: A pivotal moment for Bitcoin

Bitcoin's rebound has been driven by institutional accumulation, improving regulatory sentiment, and technical resilience at key support levels. However, volatility remains a factor, with upcoming macroeconomic events and continued ETF flows playing a pivotal role in Bitcoin's next move.

Traders should closely monitor the $90,320 support zone and $94,200 resistance level, as breaking above the latter could pave the way for a retest of $96,400 and potentially a march toward $100,000. Conversely, losing Support at $90,320 could expose BTC to renewed selling pressure, targeting $84,200 and $81,900.

For now, the bulls appear to be in control, but the battle between institutional buyers and macroeconomic headwinds will determine Bitcoin's trajectory in the coming days.

Chart

Bitcoin chart analysis March 1 2025

Chart

Bitcoin chart analysis March 3 2025

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

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Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday, extending its recovery by 5% so far this week. On the institutional front, a modest outflow from US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) marks a slowdown from previous weeks and signals a reduction in selling pressure, further supporting BTC’s recovery.