Bitcoin price could note corrections as investors’ Greed reaches two year high after 109% YTD rise

Bitcoin price rise has pushed investors to act extremely bullish, resulting in increased optimism. This rise in Greed is largely influenced by the spot Bitcoin ETF filing, hyped by the investors. Looking at the listing, however, it seems that while the impact of the exchange-traded funds (ETFs) will be on younger retail investors, the influence might come from some other cohort.

Daily Digest Market Movers: Spot Bitcoin ETFs target audience revealed

Bitcoin has millions of investors around the globe who have been patiently awaiting a spot ETF for a long time now. Applicants, including the likes of BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, have been relentlessly pushing the approval. But by the looks of it, these applicants have a different target audience in mind.

According to Eric Balchunas, a Bloomberg ETF analyst, the recent listing of ARK Invest, BlackRock and Invesco ETFs on the DTCC site suggests that these companies are aiming at money-loaded investors and/or institutional investors primarily. He stated,

“Each of the tickers chosen so far, $ARKB, $IBTC and $BTCO, shows these ETFs are being aimed squarely at advisors (and the rich Boomers they serve) vs aimed at retail (otherwise we’d see $HODL type tickers). Boring but smart IMO.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs listing on DTCC

While the comment may be harsh in tone, it is rather accurate when it comes to the crypto market. Retail investors have historically been known to pump tokens with no fundamental value that have either been trending owing to a pop cultural significance or due to an appealing name. This list includes the likes of Dogecoin, PEPE, Squid Games token, DogeElon Mars, etc.

Besides, since the next bull run will come at the hands of institutions, it makes sense as to why these ETFs are primarily catering to them. This would, regardless, prove to be beneficial to retail investors as BTC should climb further. The recent rally injected significant optimism into the market as observed on the Crypto Fear and Greed index.

The index is presently at a two-year high, sitting at 66, but reached 72 in the past week. This level of figures was last seen in November 2021. This sentiment is expected to act as a catalyst for Bitcoin price, which has performed exceptionally these past ten months despite facing investor bearishness.

Crypto Fear and Greed Index 

Since the year began, BTC has grown by 109% to date, eclipsing other major investment options by a mile. The closest competition to the cryptocurrency after Ethereum was Apple and NASDAQ, both of which grew by 30% since January 1, 2023. 

This development will keep the bullish momentum going for the asset, which is crucial for the forecasted price rise.

Technical Analysis: Bitcoin price has high targets

Bitcoin price is presently trading at $34,603, bouncing off the short-term support level of $33,901 on the 3-day chart. Testing this level as a support floor is necessary for BTC to sustain the uptick it has achieved in the past few weeks and push the cryptocurrency toward the next major barriers.

Bitcoin has its eyes set on $36,833, the reclaiming of which is crucial for a rise toward $40,000. Breaching this level would likely mark the beginning of the bull run that the market has been waiting for since 2023 began.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator suggests the bullish momentum is far from waning as the green bars continue to increase on the histogram, which is a positive sign.

BTC/USD 3-day chart

However, if Bitcoin price loses the support of $33,901, a drawdown to $31,507 is likely and potentially inevitable. This would also push short traders to bring the cryptocurrency down to $30,000, and breaking through that level would invalidate the bullish thesis for good.