|

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD slips below $3,900   - Confluence Detector

  • BTC/USD are not ready to act.
  • A move back below $3,900 might trigger more selling pressure.

BTC/USD dropped like a stone, unable to settle above a critical $3,900 area. The price went as high as $3,947 on Sunday, but it seems that Bitcoin bulls are not ready yet for a decisive breakthrough. BTC/USD moved below SMA50 and SMA100 (1-hour) to trade at $3,877 at the time of writing, off the Asian low touched at $3,847.

BTC/USD the daily confluence detector

We have a bunch of strong technical levels right above the current price and up until $3,950 handle. The resistance zone is going to be a hard nut to crack for Bitcoin bulls. The confluence of technical indicators include:

  • Lower boundaries of Bollinger Band on 1-hour and 15-min charts
  • A host of significant SMA levels like SMA100 and SMA50 (1-hour), SMA10 (4-hour)
  • Fibo retracement levels (38.2% monthly and daily, 23.6% daily, 61.8% daily)

A sustainable move above this area will clear up the way towards the next resistance zone $4,000 (Fibo 23.6% monthly and 61.8% Fibo retracement weekly) and $4,200 strengthened by the previous month high.

Below the current price, we can see a confluence of technical indicators, including SMA100 (4-hour), midline line of daily Bollinger Bands, a lower boundary of 4-hour Bollinger Band, 23.6% and 38.1% Fibo retracement weekly, SMA50 4-hour, SMA200 1-hour.

The next barrier is seen below $3,800 (Fibo retracement 61.8% weekly). It is followed by psychological $3,700 strengthened by 61.8% Fibo retracement monthly and the previous week’s low.

BTC/USD, 1D

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.

XRP pares losses, targets breakout above $1.50 as ETF demand diminishes

XRP pares losses as bulls target a short-term breakout above $1.50. The MACD upholds a buy signal while the MFI indicator rises above the midline, suggesting a potential bullish shift.

Ghost holding in BlackRock’s IBIT sparks Chinese Bitcoin investment whispers

A new entity identified in BlackRock's quarterly filing for its Bitcoin (BTC) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) IBIT has sparked rumors of Chinese investment under the name of Zhang Hui, despite the nationwide ban on the Crypto King. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound slightly as technicals signal bullish shift

The cryptocurrency market is showing signs of a gradual recovery, with Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) all edging higher at the time of writing on Wednesday after the price declines seen a day earlier. 

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: BTC bears aren’t done yet

Bitcoin (BTC) price slips below $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining under pressure and extending losses of nearly 5% so far this week.