|

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC/USD making a persuasive move back to $12,000 – Confluence Detector

  • Bitcoin price clings to newfound support at $11,800; eyes glued on $12,000 as the weekend is ushered in.
  • BTC/USD could settle for consolidation on Friday due to low trading volume.

Bitcoin bulls are trying to make a persuasive move above $11,800. The bullish attempt comes after recovery from levels slightly above $11,600. Looking a few days back, BTC spiked incredibly and even touched $12,500 on Coinbase and other exchange platforms. However, buyers started to lose lift as bears pulled the throttle back, at some point completely pushing the bulls out of the ‘cockpit.’ This led to losses under $12,000, but support above $11,600 came in hand.

At the moment, Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $11,872 as buyers work hard to ensure that the momentum towards $12,000 is not lost. The path to $12,000 has proved to be an uphill task since Bitcoin bounced off support at $11,600. Moreover, more resistance is highlighted by a confluence formed by the 100 SMA in the 1-hour chart and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level taken from the last swing high to $12,500 to a swing low at $11,620.

On the downside, initial support is provided by the 50 SMA in conjunction with 23.6% Fibo. Technically, consolidation is expected to take precedence ahead of the weekend session. This sideways trading is stressed by the RSI as it glides horizontally at 50 (midline) and the MACD’s as it clings to the mean line (0.00).

BTC/USD 1-hour chart

BTC/USD peice chart

Bitcoin confluence resistance and support levels

Resistance one: $11,918 – As highlighted by the pivot point one-day resistance one, the SMA 100 1-hour and the SMA five one-day.

Resistance two: $12,288 – This zone holds the pivot point one-month resistance one and the Bollinger Band one-day upper curve.

Resistance three: $13,151 – Highlighted by the pivot point one-month resistance three and the pivot point one-week resistance three.

Support one: $11,795 – This the strongest confluence support. It is home to the SMA 100 15-minutes, the Fibo 38.2% one-day, the Bollinger Band 1-hour middle, the Bollinger Band 15-minutes middle and the Fibo 23.6% one-day.

Support two: $11548 – As highlighted by the Fibo 61.8% one-week, the pivot point one-day support three, the Bollinger Band 4-hour upper and the Fibo 161.8% one-day.

Support three: $11,178 – Home to the previous week low and the Bollinger Band one-day lower.

fxsoriginal

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ripple correction pauses, but recovery prospects remain limited

XRP hovers above the critical $1.00 support level but faces diminishing recovery potential. Binance XRP futures Open Interest falls to $189 million, the lowest level in three months.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP struggle to find footing amid spot ETF outflows

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly consolidating near key lower support levels on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin, hovering around $74,000. Ethereum sits above $2,000 while its upside remains structurally capped. Ripple, meanwhile, holds delicately above $1.00.

Bitcoin at risk of sharp moves as leverage builds in derivatives markets

Bitcoin remains in a capped tone, trading around $73,800 on Wednesday after slipping to a low of $72,727 following the previous day’s hot US inflation figures. Institutional demand continues to weaken, with BTC spot ETFs recording a $95 million outflow on Tuesday, marking the fourth straight day of withdrawals.

Chainlink holds at $10 as Moody’s Ratings completes CCIP testnet pilot

Chainlink edges higher on Wednesday, taking a breather after the previous day’s 3% decline. Moody’s Rating completes the testnet pilot on Chainlink’s CCIP to distribute credit assessment data across multiple blockchain networks simultaneously.

Bitcoin: Bears tighten grip as BTC eyes fifth weekly loss
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 3% this week, trading near $75,500 on Friday and heading for its fifth straight weekly loss. Persistent outflows from US-listed BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), a sharp sell-off in US technology stocks, and rising market liquidations are weighing on sentiment and limiting Crypto King’s recovery attempts.