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Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD consolidates gains above $4,000 - Confluence Detector

  • $4,000 turns into a strong support. 
  • Bitcoin futures expiration might create volatile trading conditions. 

Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates above $4,000 handle, though the upside lacks momentum. BTC/USD is mostly unchanged both on a day-on-day basis and since the beginning of Friday. 

The volatility may grow later during the day due to the expiration of CME’s March Bitcoin contracts. 

Bitcoin confluence levels 

A strong support area is spotted right below the current price. $4,000 handle turned from a tough resistance to a formidable support, enhanced by a confluence of technical indicators

The include 23.6% Fibo retracement daily,  38.2% Fibo retracement daily, 61.8% Fibo retracement weekly, lower boundary of Bollinger bands on 15-min and 1-hour charts and a host of important SMA levels. 

Bitcoin bears will need to push the price below $3,950 guarded by SMA100 on 4-hour and 1-hour charts, 23.6% Fibo retracement weekly and 38.2% Fibo retracement weekly. A sustainable move lower will trigger a new sell-off wave with the focus on $3,750. 

Above the current price, the resistance areas goes until $4,100 and consists of 61.8% Fibo retracement daily, upper line of Bollinger Band on 1-hour chart and also upper lines of  Bollinger bands on daily and 4-hour charts, 161.8% Fibo projection daily. Once it is cleared, the recovery may be extended towards $4,186 (previous month high) and psychological $4,200.  

BTC/USD 1D 

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

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