|

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC/USD consolidates gains above $4,000 - Confluence Detector

  • $4,000 turns into a strong support. 
  • Bitcoin futures expiration might create volatile trading conditions. 

Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates above $4,000 handle, though the upside lacks momentum. BTC/USD is mostly unchanged both on a day-on-day basis and since the beginning of Friday. 

The volatility may grow later during the day due to the expiration of CME’s March Bitcoin contracts. 

Bitcoin confluence levels 

A strong support area is spotted right below the current price. $4,000 handle turned from a tough resistance to a formidable support, enhanced by a confluence of technical indicators

The include 23.6% Fibo retracement daily,  38.2% Fibo retracement daily, 61.8% Fibo retracement weekly, lower boundary of Bollinger bands on 15-min and 1-hour charts and a host of important SMA levels. 

Bitcoin bears will need to push the price below $3,950 guarded by SMA100 on 4-hour and 1-hour charts, 23.6% Fibo retracement weekly and 38.2% Fibo retracement weekly. A sustainable move lower will trigger a new sell-off wave with the focus on $3,750. 

Above the current price, the resistance areas goes until $4,100 and consists of 61.8% Fibo retracement daily, upper line of Bollinger Band on 1-hour chart and also upper lines of  Bollinger bands on daily and 4-hour charts, 161.8% Fibo projection daily. Once it is cleared, the recovery may be extended towards $4,186 (previous month high) and psychological $4,200.  

BTC/USD 1D 

Author

Tanya Abrosimova

Tanya Abrosimova

Independent Analyst

 

More from Tanya Abrosimova
Share:

Editor's Picks

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary.

Ethereum Price Forecast: FG Nexus continues distribution amid signs of returning risk-on sentiment

FG Nexus, once dubbed an Ethereum treasury firm, resumed offloading the top altcoin on Wednesday, distributing 7,550 ETH, according to data from smart money tracker EmberCN.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC holds long-term bullish structure heading into 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) is wrapping up 2025 as one of its most eventful years, defined by unprecedented institutional participation, major regulatory developments, and extreme price volatility.

Bitcoin: No recovery in sight

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade within a range-bound zone, hovering around $67,000 at the time of writing on Friday, and falling slightly so far this week, with no signs of recovery.