|

Bitcoin price continues balancing act as BTC supply on exchanges hits six month low

  • Bitcoin liquidity continues to tighten as BTC reserves on exchanges hit a six-month low. 
  • Analysts have identified an emerging bullish setup in the Bitcoin price chart, targeting $53,000. 
  • Tom Lee of Fundstrat has predicted Bitcoin price could hit $200,000 as capital flows out of bonds and into crypto. 

Bitcoin’s overall liquidity is shrinking as the overall BTC balance on exchanges drops. The asset’s liquidity has hit a six-month low. Proponents consider this a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin price. 

Analysts predict Bitcoin price rally as liquidity tightens 

Bitcoin price suffered a nearly 40% drop over the past 90 days; however, analysts believe that recent events could increase the asset’s price. Bitcoin reserves on exchanges have dropped nearly 10%, hitting a new low over the past six months. 

Cryptocurrency exchanges now hold less than $100 billion in Bitcoin, nearly 12% of the asset’s market capitalization. Historically, a price rally follows the shortage of supply and liquidity tightening in Bitcoin. 

Analysts have identified a key indicator that supports a bullish outlook for Bitcoin price. 

Bitcoin’s price trend has formed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, viewed as an indicator that suggests a flip in the downtrend. The crypto’s price started an uptrend earlier today, posting 4% daily gains. 

Analysts have set a target of $53,000 for Bitcoin price if the asset can break the neckline of the reverse head and shoulders at $44,600. 

Recently, there has been a spike in active investors in the Bitcoin market. A spike in activity coupled with the supply shortage on exchanges could fuel a Bitcoin price rally. 

According to crypto intelligence firm Ecoinometrics, Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market has remained exceptionally high. Events that negatively impact the stock market could lead to a correction in Bitcoin. 

US stock market prices have remained under pressure in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s rate hike. This could negatively impact Bitcoin prices. 

Yet institutional analysts continue to remain bullish on the flagship cryptocurrency. Tom Lee of Fundstrat, a market strategy firm, believes that Bitcoin price could hit $200,000. Lee expects US households to pull capital out of bonds and pour it into Bitcoin, as the asset hedges against inflation. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe recover, echoing Bitcoin rebound

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are trading mixed as Bitcoin records minor gains on Monday, warming sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Still, the incipient recovery in Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe remains fragile amid the prevailing downtrend.

Bitcoin consolidates as downside risks persist

Bitcoin has made only three wave rallies from the November lows, which is one of the most important indications that more weakness may still lie ahead.

Polkadot's (DOT) dips, with token underperforming wider crypto markets

DOT $1.8269 fell 2% to $1.84 over the last 24 hours. Trading volumes were 7.8% above the seven-day moving average at 7.76 million tokens, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.