|

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Range-play extends on Easter, bearish bias still intact

  • Bitcoin consolidates in a rectangle on the hourly chart.
  • The No.1 coin awaits a fresh catalyst amid Easter lull.
  • Path of resistance still appears to the downside.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD), the most dominant digital asset, has failed another attempt to sustain above the 6900 levels so far this Easter Sunday. The price turned south, thereafter, no flirting with daily lows just above the 0.68 handle, losing nearly 1% on the day. Despite the latest leg down, the no.1 continues to traverse in the recent trading range, as the bulls and bears are seen in a tug-of-war, in absence of fresh catalyst amid a typical Easter trading lull. Bitcoin is poised to settle the week almost unchanged while enjoying a market capitalization of $125.14 billion.

Technical Overview

BTC/USD 1-hour chart

From a short-term technical perspective, the most favorite crypto coin is likely to extend its consolidative mode so long as it holds above Friday’s low of 6750.92. On the hourly chart, the price is locked within a potential rectangle pattern.

Although the path of least resistance appears to the downside. To add, the hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned lower below the midline, suggesting the bears will likely remain in control going forward. Meanwhile, a bunch of resistances is stacked up that is making it a difficult task for the bulls to attempt a move higher.

 The immediate resistance awaits at the downward sloping 21-hourly Simple Moving Averages (HMA) of 6851.31 above which 6900, the intersection of the round figure and bearish 50-HMA will be tested. A move through the latter will bring the horizontal trendline resistance at 6955 back in play. The rectangle pattern bullish breakout will get confirmed should the price close above 6955 on an hourly basis, opening doors for a test of the critical horizontal resistance of the 200-HMA at 7045.

Alternatively, the bears have to take out the only demand area around 6775-6750, the confluence of the horizontal trendline support and Friday’s low, to resume last week’s corrective slide from monthly tops of 7468.81. A test of the 6600 level is inevitable on a failure to defend the abovementioned support zone.

BTC/USD technical levels to watch

BTC/USD

Overview
Today last price6831.06
Today Daily Change-68.15
Today Daily Change %-0.99
Today daily open6888.21
 
Trends
Daily SMA206743.82
Daily SMA507266.8
Daily SMA1008147.42
Daily SMA2008069.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6955.21
Previous Daily Low6774.09
Previous Weekly High7468.81
Previous Weekly Low6681.12
Previous Monthly High9215.51
Previous Monthly Low3886.49
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6886.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6843.28
Daily Pivot Point S16789.8
Daily Pivot Point S26691.39
Daily Pivot Point S36608.68
Daily Pivot Point R16970.92
Daily Pivot Point R27053.62
Daily Pivot Point R37152.03

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

Ethereum Price Forecast: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders.

XRP and XLM outlook: Bearish streak extends as risk-off mood erodes retail demand, ETF flows

Ripple and Stellar prices face intense selling pressure, extending losses on Thursday for the fourth consecutive day this week. Cross-border remittance tokens are losing retail sentiment, while XRP faces additional pressure from Exchange-Traded Fund outflows. 

Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean.

Grayscale launches Hyperliquid staking ETF, undercutting rival fees

Grayscale announced the launch of its Hyperliquid Staking ETF (HYPG) on Wednesday, now trading on Nasdaq. The fund offers investors direct exposure to HYPE and incorporates staking rewards, which the company claims have historically ranged from 2.2% to 2.3% annually.

Billions in ETF outflows don’t bode well
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $74,000 on Friday, and is set to post its third consecutive week of losses. The institutional sell-off continues, with spot BTC Exchange-Traded funds (ETFs) recording billions in outflows. In addition, sticky inflation and macroeconomic headwinds suppress the Crypto King’s upside potential. Institutional demand continues to weaken so far this week.