|

Bitcoin finds buyers despite new six-month and 2022 lows, BTC relief rally on deck

  • Bitcoin price collapses almost 10% on Monday but recovers the entirety of that loss to close in the green.
  • Evidence of dip-buying growing, relief rally likely.
  • Downside risks remain, but a corrective move higher is beginning.

Bitcoin price action on Monday was mainly in a full-blown bear attack, with a new 2022 and six-month lows hit. That all changed near the end of the NY equity market session when buyers poured in to rally Bitcoin higher to close in the green for the second day in a row.

Bitcoin price finds buyers at new multi-month lows, bulls cautious despite a late-session rally

Bitcoin price action has leaned heavily on the bear side of late. Bitcoin dropped nearly 24% from last Monday's open, the most significant loss occurring on Friday with a massive 13% nosedive. Sunday's recovery was in question as sellers continued to push Bitcoin lower until denied by an influx of buying.

When Bitcoin price hit the 88.2% Fibonacci retracement, it immediately reversed Bitcoin's direction. From an oscillator perspective, Bitcoin is neutral in the Relative Strength Index but severely oversold in the Optex Band oscillator. This is the first time Bitcoin has hit the weekly oversold level in the Optex Bands oscillator since July 2021 – which preceded a move to new all-time highs.

Despite the greater than 50% drop from the all-time high, the losses suffered by Bitcoin price are still less than what was experienced between April and June 2021. Bitcoin is down 52% from its all-time high, but the April – June 2021 collapse put Bitcoin lower by nearly 56%.

BTC/USD Weekly Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Chart

Buyers must close Bitcoin at or above the $37,300 value area this week. If that does not happen, Bitcoin will enter into an Ideal Bearish Ichimoku Breakout setup – the most sought-after short setup in the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo system. Fulfilling the criteria for that short entry would be the first time since the Covid-crash in March 2020 and only the second time since May 2018.

Author

Jonathan Morgan

Jonathan Morgan

Independent Analyst

Jonathan has been working as an Independent future, forex, and cryptocurrency trader and analyst for 8 years. He also has been writing for the past 5 years.

More from Jonathan Morgan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple extend recovery as market sentiment improves

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) traded higher on Monday after rebounding from key support levels the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies suggest further recovery, as momentum indicators signal a fading bearish trend. 

Top Crypto Gainers: VIRTUAL, AERO, PUMP rally as US Government shutdown nears end

Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL), Aerodrome Finance (AERO), and Pump.fun (PUMP) champion the strong cryptocurrency market recovery at press time on Monday as the US Government shutdown nears resolution. A Bloomberg report indicates that a group of certain Senate Democrats could support a deal to reopen funding for some departments.

XRP bears tighten grip as retail activity slows

Ripple (XRP) edges lower, trading below $2.18 at the time of writing on Friday. The sell-off has affected most major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin (BTC), which hovers above $100,000 and Ethereum (ETH), trading below $3,250.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE poised for $40 breakout as staking balance drops 2%

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is battling to hold short-term support at $37.00 at the time of writing on Friday, as a bearish wave sweeps across the cryptocurrency market. The perpetual decentralized exchange (DEX) token has declined from an intraday high of $40.75, reflecting a sticky bearish sentiment.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: $100K on the knife-edge

Bitcoin (BTC) price continues to trade in red, below $101,000 at the time of writing on Friday, having dropped more than 8% so far this week. The decline comes amid mounting selling pressure from long-term holders, who continue to offload their positions.