|

AVAX price ready to shed some weight before the next 40% run-up

  • AVAX price shows a retracement after setting up a swing high at $25.83.
  • The downswing will likely shed 8% before triggering the next move to $28.17 and $30.25.
  • A daily candlestick close below $19.54 will invalidate the bullish thesis.

AVAX price is correcting after an impressive run-up seen over the last two weeks. This move is likely driven by investors booking profits after the aforementioned upswing.

Avalanche bulls are likely to come to the rescue around a stable support level, triggering a new run-up that pushes past the previously set local top.

AVAX price sets the journey for a higher high

AVAX price rallied 32% between July 27 and July 30 as it moved from a swing low of $19.54 to a local top at $25.83. As a result of this bullish upthrust, buyers could be booking profits, driving the price lower.

Sidelined investors, however, are likely to come in at around the 62% or 70.5% retracement level at $21.93 and $21.40 to add more to their holdings. This development could trigger a new rally for AVAX price.

As for the targets, investors can expect a retest of the local top at $25.83 as the first hurdle. But flipping this level into a support floor will allow Avalanche bulls to make a run for the $28.17 blockade.

If buyers exercise patience with respect to booking profits, AVAX price might extend its run-up to $30.25. In total, this move would constitute a 41% ascent from $21.40.

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart

While this bullish outlook makes logical sense, investors need to pay close attention to Bitcoin price, as a sell-off in the big crypto could affect AVAX price and all altcoins equally. In such a case if AVAX price produces a daily candlestick close below $19.54, it will invalidate the bullish thesis.

Author

Akash Girimath

Akash Girimath is a Mechanical Engineer interested in the chaos of the financial markets. Trying to make sense of this convoluted yet fascinating space, he switched his engineering job to become a crypto reporter and analyst.

More from Akash Girimath
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP edges higher as bullish derivatives, EMA support underpin breakout prospects
Ripple (XRP) is grinding upward and getting closer to a short-term breakout above $1.40 on Tuesday. This uptick follows the remittance token's defense of support at $1.38, after a short-lived attempt to breach selling pressure at $1.50 last week.
Useless Price Forecast: USELESS poised for another breakout as Korea’s Upbit exchange announces listing
Useless (USELESS) extends its upward trajectory, trading above $0.26 on Tuesday. The meme coin shows strong breakout potential after establishing firm support at $0.20, following an impressive 260% rally from lows near $0.15 on September 1 to a peak of approximately $0.32 last Saturday.
Bitcoin ETFs are still $1 billion shy of breaking even in 2026
While investor demand for U.S.-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has rebounded in recent weeks, net flows for the year remain firmly in the red. A spectacular August brought in a massive $3.52 billion in fresh capital, followed by a solid $770.15 million so far this month, according to data source SoSoValue.
Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple, Cardano, Solana extend consolidation as bullish momentum fades
Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL) maintain a consolidative tone, struggling to sustain their upside momentum. The technical outlook for XRP, ADA, and SOL suggests downside risk as altcoins struggle to advance their August gains. Ripple trades around $1.40 at press time on Tuesday, holding a constructive bias above its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1.3550.
Bitcoin: Gearing up for a sharp move
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $81,000 on Friday, up over 4% so far this week, and awaits a key catalyst that could determine its next directional move. Strong institutional demand is supporting the bullish price action, with spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track to record a third straight week of inflows.