|

Avalanche’s AVAX price is finished unless this happens

  • Avalanche’s AVAX price retraces into a key Fibonacci level.
  • AVAX price faces resistance from both the 8- and 21-Day simple moving averages.
  • Invalidation of the bearish trend is a breach above $27.

Avalanche’s AVAX price could endure another cataclysmic decline. Being an early buyer could be problematic.

Avalanche’s AVAX price needs more bullish evidence

Avalanche’s AVAX price is showing signs of optimism amidst the brutal decline investors have been experiencing. On July 4, 2022, the AVAX price successfully retraced into a key 61.8% Fibonacci level (surrounding June’s monthly low of $13.71 and a monthly high of $22.05) at $17.41. However, traders considering a long entry based on the recent bullish price action should beware that the 8- and 21-day simple moving averages (SMA) are also within the same vicinity of the current AVAX price at $17.49. The SMA’s are creating additional bearish resistance that bulls will need to hurdle; Furthermore, a bearish cross could result from the congestive collision of the SMAs and result in a 25% decline to $13.

AVAX price also confounds the idea of necessary caution on the Relative Strength Index. So far, there is no bullish divergence within the uptrend hike which deems the AVAX market behavior as corrective rather than impulsive. Thus, the downtrend remains entirely intact until further bullish evidence is provided. Additionally, a sell-off into the $10 price level could induce the RSI indicator to create the divergence or double-bottom signal that

.

tm/avax/7/4/22

AVAX/USDT 2-Day Chart

The earliest Invalidation of the downtrend could be a breach above $27. If the bulls can hurdle this boundary, they may be able to rally as high as $50, resulting in a 190% increase from the current AVAX price. 

Author

Tony M.

Tony M.

FXStreet Contributor

Tony Montpeirous began investing in cryptocurrencies in 2017. His trading style incorporates Elliot Wave, Auction Market Theory, Fibonacci and price action as the cornerstone of his technical analysis.

More from Tony M.
Share:

Editor's Picks

XRP pullback tests $1.40 support amid Ripple Prime product suite expansion

Ripple extends lock-step trading for the third straight day on Friday, as support at $1.40 comes under pressure. The remittance token has remained largely in defense mode since last week’s 72% rally from $1.00 to highs around $1.70.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Billions in ETF inflows push BTC toward decisive breakout

Bitcoin rises over 2% this week, holding near $80,000 after testing the 50-week SMA at $81,114. US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs are on track for a second straight week of billion-dollar inflows, with $1.13 billion recorded through Thursday.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rally stretches thin amid treasury growth, CFTC innovation push

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is down 2% on Friday after reaching a record high of 86.75 the previous day. Nasdaq-listed Hyperliquid Strategies Inc (PURR) raised almost $650 million in an equity deal to increase its HYPE holding to 29.3 million tokens.

Bitcoin: Billions in ETF inflows push BTC toward decisive breakout
Bitcoin (BTC) extends gains so far this week, trading near $80,000 after testing the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $81,114 earlier. Strong institutional demand is supporting the rally, with spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on track to record a second consecutive week of billion-dollar inflows.