|

Analysts anticipate Ethereum supply shock after 100K ETH burned

  • More than 6% of Ethereum's total supply is staked in the ETH2 contract.
  • Ethereum reserves on centralized exchanges have plunged to 18.98 million, and inflows have substantially reduced, leading to a supply shock.
  • Ethereum's mean dollar invested age dips, indicating that dormant dollars invested in the altcoin have started circulating. 
  • These factors are considered bullish indicators for the altcoin's price.

"Triple Halving" narrative underplays as Ethereum's supply on exchanges drops, and the bullish trend resumes. 

Ethereum supply shock is on the horizon

After implementing Ethereum Improvement Proposal 1559 (EIP 1559) in the London Hard Fork, over 100,000 ETH was burned. At the same time, there is an increase in Ether being staked in the ETH2 contract. 

Staking can be considered as a form of "enforced holding." Based on this narrative, since over 6% of Ethereum's supply is now staked, and $100,000 is burned, which is fueling a "supply shock" across exchanges. 

Exchanges' ETH reserves have dropped considerably in the past two weeks, hitting a low of 18.98 million. 

Ethereum reserves on centralized exchanges.

Ethereum reserves on centralized exchanges.

Inflows to exchanges are stifled, and Ethereum netflow on exchanges is low. This signals that less Ethereum is available on exchanges to buy/sell, thus encouraging holding behavior in traders. 

Alongside the supply shock, Ethereum's mean dollar invested age, a metric that calculates how long Ethereum has stayed in its current address and computes the average age of all money invested in Ether, has started decreasing over the past three days. 

A dip in mean dollar invested age signals a movement in the dormant investments made in Ether. Historically, this is a precursor of a price rally in the altcoin. If this downtrend continues, it is likely to impact Ethereum's price positively. 

According to analysts at FXStreet, if Ethereum sustains above its support at $3000, the bullish trend is likely to continue. 

Author

Ekta Mourya

Ekta Mourya

FXStreet

Ekta Mourya has extensive experience in fundamental and on-chain analysis, particularly focused on impact of macroeconomics and central bank policies on cryptocurrencies.

More from Ekta Mourya
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Sberbank issues Russia's first corporate loan backed by Bitcoin

Russia's largest bank Sberbank launched the country's first Bitcoin-backed corporate loan to miner Intelion Data. The pilot deal uses cryptocurrency as collateral through Sberbank's proprietary Rutoken custody solution.

Bitcoin recovers to $87,000 as retail optimism offsets steady ETF outflows

Bitcoin (BTC) trades above $88,000 at press time on Tuesday, following a rejection at $90,000 the previous day. Institutional support remains mixed amid steady outflow from US spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Strategy Inc.’s acquisition of 1,229 BTC last week.

Traders split over whether lighter’s LIT clears $3 billion FDV after launch

Lighter’s LIT token has not yet begun open trading, but the market has already drawn a sharp line around its valuation after Tuesday's airdrop.

Orange Juice Newsletter – Smart insights by real people. Every day.

A free newsletter highlighting key market trends to help traders stay a step ahead. Daily insights on the most relevant trading topics, compiled by our experts in an easy-to-read format so you never miss an important move.

Bitcoin: Fed delivers, yet fails to impress BTC traders

Bitcoin (BTC) continues de trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $92,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.