XLK is Poised for an Upside Thrust

The multi-month decline in 10-year YIELD—a flattening Yield Curve—has not negatively impacted the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) in quite the perverse way most analysts had expected.

In fact, XLF has cobbled together an impressive accumulation formation during the March-June deterioration of longer-term yield.

The 64,000-dollar questions is whether or not the relative strength of the Financial's (XLK) is anticipating reasons for longer-term YIELD to pivot to the upside, thereby supporting stronger earnings and net-interest margins in the banking sector?

My work hints that YIELD is nearing a significant multi-month corrective turn in the 2.10% area, ahead of the upside continuation of the July 2016 to Dec 2016 advance from 1.32% to 2.64%.

Chart

In using any portion of MPTrader, you agree to the Terms and Conditions governing the use of the service as described in this disclaimer. Our disclaimers, policies and terms are subject to change without notice. MPTrader (www.mptrader.com) is published by AdviceTrade, Inc. and MJP Market Strategies, Inc., both of whom are publishers. The Web site is maintained by Codexia, LLC and has a marketing affiliation with The Technical Trader. None of these firms or individuals is registered as a broker-dealer or investment adviser either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or with any state securities authority. Mr. Paulenoff's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Paulenoff's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions and Mr. Paulenoff and employees of AdviceTrade do not have personal positions in instruments mentioned on the site. Hypothetical performance results do not include trading commissions and other execution costs that would be incurred if the trades referenced in the diary or elsewhere on the site were actual trades. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, and Codexia cannot and do not assess, verify or guarantee the suitability or profitability of any particular investment. The risk of loss in trading index futures can be substantial. You should therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitablef or you in light of your financial condition. You bear responsibility for your own investment research and decisions and should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment. As an express condition of using this service and anytime after ending the service, you agree not to hold any employees of MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, or Codexia or the companies themselves liable for trading losses, lost profits or other damages resulting from your use of information in MPTrader in any form (Web-based, email-based, or downloadable software), and you agree to indemnify and hold MJP Market Strategies, AdviceTrade, and Codexia and their employees harmless from and against any and all claims, losses, liabilities, costs, and expenses (including but not limited to attorneys' fees) arising from your violation of this agreement. This paragraph is not intended to limit rights available to you or to us that may be available under the federal securities laws.