|

XAU/USD outlook: Profit taking and weaker sentiment fuel Gold's sharp pullback

XAU/USD

Gold price falls over 2% on Monday, as traders collect profits from last week’s almost 6% rally (the biggest weekly gain in nearly two years).

Weaker sentiment on easing safe-haven demand following the nomination of Scot Bessent as the next US Treasury Secretary, who is seen as less hawkish and could positively influence Trump administration’s plans to impose severe tariffs on imports into US and avoid trade war (China is targeted primarily but the Eurozone is very likely to be hit).

Technical picture on daily chart shows that recovery rally from recent correction low at $2536 (Nov 14) is likely over, as 14-d momentum remains in negative territory and turned south and stochastic is reversing from overbought territory.

Fresh weakness cracked significant supports at $2650/48 (Fibo 38.2% of $2536/$2721, reinforced by 55DMA and the top of rising daily Ichimoku cloud) with daily close below these levels to validate negative signal and focus net targets at $2629 (50% retracement) and $2621 (10DMA), guarding $2607/00 (Fibo 61.8% / psychological).

Daily cloud top / broken Fibo, reverted to initial resistances ($2648/50), followed by daily Kijun-sen ($2663) which should cap upticks and keep bears in play.

Res: 2650; 2663; 2668; 2677.
Sup: 2629; 2621; 2607; 2600.

Chart

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 2765.5
    2. R2 2738.5
    3. R1 2722.22
  1. PP 2695.22
    1. S1 2678.94
    2. S2 2651.94
    3. S3 2635.66

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines around 1.1900; looks to US NFP report for fresh directional impetus

The EUR/USD pair is seen oscillating in a narrow trading band around the 1.1900 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opt to wait for the release of US monthly employment details before placing fresh directional bets.

GBP/USD recovers losses despite rising UK political risks, BoE rate cut bets

Pound Sterling advances against the US Dollar after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.3650 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair could extend losses as the Pound Sterling faces pressure from rising political risks in the UK and growing expectations of near-term Bank of England rate cuts.

Gold awaits US Nonfarm Payrolls data for a sustained upside

Gold remains capped below $5,100 early Wednesday, gathering pace for the US labor data. The US Dollar licks its wounds amid persistent Japanese Yen strength and potential downside risks to the US jobs report. Gold holds above $5,000 amid bullish daily RSI, with eyes on 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,141.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show no sign of recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple show signs of cautious stabilization on Wednesday after failing to close above their key resistance levels earlier this week. BTC trades below $69,000, while ETH and XRP also encountered rejection near major resistance levels. With no immediate bullish catalyst, the top three cryptocurrencies continue to show no clear signs of a sustained recovery.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

XRP holds $1.40 amid ETF inflows and stable derivatives market

Ripple trades under pressure, with immediate support at $1.40 holding at the time of writing on Tuesday. A recovery attempt from last week’s sell-off to $1.12 stalled at $1.54 on Friday, leading to limited price action between the current support and the resistance.