|

XAU/USD outlook: Gold hits new record high on weaker Dollar/Fed rate cut expectation

XAU/USD

Gold rose to new record highs in late Monday / early Tuesday trading, as bulls regained traction after a narrow consolidation in past four days.

Fresh weakness of US dollar ahead of Wednesday’s Fed rate decision, in which the central bank is widely expected to cut rate by 25 basis points (there is also a small chance for possible 50 basis points rate cut) provided fresh boost to the yellow metal’s price, in addition to deepening political crisis in the US and some EU countries, as well as signals of worsening geopolitical situation.

With rate cut being almost fully priced in, markets await to hear about Fed’s guidance for the near future, with growing hopes that the central bank will remain in a dovish mode that would provide further support for gold.

Psychological $3700 level is under increased pressure, with break here to expose next target at 3734 (Fibo 138.2% projection).

Bulls so far don’t react on overbought daily studies, but some consolidation / shallow correction should be expected in the near term, if current fundamentals remain unchanged.

Res: 3700; 3734; 3750; 3789.
Sup: 3674; 3624; 3600; 3577.

XAUUSD

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 3757.86
    2. R2 3721.73
    3. R1 3698.9
  1. PP 3662.78
    1. S1 3639.95
    2. S2 3603.82
    3. S3 3580.99

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.