|

WTI Oil outlook: Oil is consolidating after strong fall on Thursday

WTI Oil

Oil price regained traction and edged higher on Friday morning, after falling over 3% previous day, following comments from Russian member of OPEC+ that the cartel is unlikely to further cut production at their meeting on June 4.

Thursday’s strong fall (the biggest daily loss since May 3) confirmed a double rejection at the base of thick daily cloud and generated bearish signal on completion of reversal pattern on daily chart, though the signal is still to be justified on break of $70.65/47 pivots (May 22 spike low / Fibo 38.2% of $63.63/$74.70 upleg).

Daily studies are turning to full bearish mode as falling 14-d momentum broke into negative territory, moving averages are in bearish setup and thick daily cloud weighs, suggesting that bears may re-take control after limited consolidation (to be capped under 5DMA at $72.75).

Weekly studies are also bearishly aligned, though the action of this week is on track to end in the shape of Doji candle, which signals indecision and seeks for fresh direction signal.

Res: 72.09; 72.75; 73.27; 73.93.
Sup: 71.39; 70.98; 70.42; 70.00. 

USCrude

Interested in WTI technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 77.12
    2. R2 75.74
    3. R1 73.79
  1. PP 72.41
    1. S1 70.45
    2. S2 69.08
    3. S3 67.12

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).