|

Will China’s financial storm propel Gold prices to new highs? [Video]

As the countdown to the Chinese New Year begins, Commodity traders have turned their attention to the world’s largest Gold consumer for clues on the precious metals next big move. 

According to data tracked by GSC Commodity Intelligence – Chinese Investors, households and banks have been piling into Gold at one of the fastest paces seen since the Global Financial Crisis as the country's stock market and real-estate sector continues to sink deeper into economic meltdown. 

While it is a customary tradition to buy Gold during the Lunar New Year holiday season, reports of robust demand this year are grabbing headlines because China’s bullion-buying spree, this time around happens to coincide with a stock market crash. 

China's stock market hasn’t just had a bad start to 2024. It’s having one of its worst starts to the year ever. China's market mayhem has dragged the country's benchmark CSI 300 equity index down more 30% YTD – wiping out a staggering $6 trillion in market value from its peak reached in 2021. 

But that's just one symptom of a much bigger problem. The lack of alternatives and the fact that it’s become a lot more difficult than it was a few years ago to get your money out of China and invest elsewhere – has supercharged Gold’s appeal as the ‘go-to’ safe haven and store of value in times of uncertainty. 

Together with blistering demand from central banks, China’s bullion binge helped push the price of Gold to all-time record highs in December and has kept prices firmly above $2,000 an ounce this year – ultimately setting a new floor for the market. 

In a recent note to clients, analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence said mounting evidence shows that we are now in a “new era” for Gold. 

China’s bullion buying spree simply represents, yet another bullish tailwind for precious metal prices – alongside all the other macro and geopolitical events currently unfolding from escalating tensions in the Middle East to the expectation that interest rates will soon begin to fall. 

With Gold priced in multiple currencies including British Pounds, Euros, Australian Dollars, Chinese Yuan and Japanese Yen currently trading at all-time record highs – the big question now is will Gold priced in US dollars be next to hit fresh all-time highs? 

Analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence believe it's not a question of 'if' but 'when'. In fact, you just have to take a look at what happened in 2023. 

Last year, Gold priced in multiple currencies set new all-time highs by an average of 100 days prior to Gold price denominated in US dollars. If this is a leading barometer for predicting the performance of Gold prices as a whole, then this ultimately means one thing. 

Higher Gold prices are coming! 

That’s welcoming news for the bulls, but painful for anyone sitting on the sidelines, who must now decide how much FOMO they can handle. 

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:
 

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.