|

Will 2024 be the year when Silver prices hit $50 an ounce? [Video]

There’s no question, 2024 will go down in history as one of the most profitable years ever for precious metal traders – And this could just the beginning! 

After an epic run that has seen Gold prices set new all-time record highs not once, not twice, but on multiple occasions in the first half of the year – analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence have officially dubbed 2024 “The Year of The Metals”. 

According to GSC Commodity Intelligence – “what we're seeing in the precious metals market is nothing short of extraordinary. It may only be a matter of weeks, if not days before Gold prices set another all-time record highs”. 

With that being almost a given now, traders are starting to shift their attention to Silver on rising expectations that the grey metal will be next to score new record highs. 

A recently released annual World Silver Report, showed 2024 marks the fifth consecutive year of a Silver shortage – with this year in particular being one of the most intense on record. 

Silver demand exceeded supply in 2023, resulting in a structural market deficit of over 142 million ounces. The forecast indicates that the annual production shortfall will nearly double to 265 million ounces by the end of 2024, due to surging industrial demand. 

Historically, half of the demand for Silver has been industrial and the remaining half has predominantly been investment related. 

However, in recent years, the balance has shifting in favour of industrial demand, which currently accounts for 64% of the total global demand for Silver. Put another way, that’s a whopping increase of 19% from a year ago. 

And this trend shows no sign of slowing down anytime soon. 

The major catalysts behind an historic squeeze in Silver supply include the Green Energy Transition, with Solar Energy playing a pivotal role. Alongside unprecedented demand from Artificial Intelligence and the EV sectors – which are undoubtable three of the fastest and biggest growing industries in the world today. 

Worsening supply and demand dynamics have sent Silver prices on a parabolic run since October last year, rallying from just under $20 an ounce to a 12-year high of $32.50 an ounce last month – notching up an impressive gain of over 62%, over a seven-month stretch. 

And the rally might not stop there!

In a note to clients, analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence wrote that “Silver has a habit of lagging behind Gold for extended periods of time, but once it gets going, it really gets going”. 

Generally, Gold will shoot up first and then you will see Silver take off when you least expect it. And Silver always outperforms. 

Whichever way you look at it, one thing is clear. Silver is still relatively cheap compared with Gold and certainly has a lot of catching up to do. To quote analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence – “Silver is definitely the best trade right now and the one to watch in the second half of 2024”.

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.