Widening gap between leading indicators and coincident index

Summary
Since the Leading Economic Index first slipped into negative territory in early 2022, economic growth has been steady and recession has been avoided. This is evident in the gap between the Leading Index and the Coincident Index. In fact, the spread has seldom been larger. We explore how in prior cycles that has marked a late-cycle turning point for the better.
Author

Wells Fargo Research Team
Wells Fargo

















