|

What does Trump’s inauguration mean for your portfolio?

Key points

  • Volatility is inevitable. Don’t panic. Market swings are common during times of political change, such as Trump's inauguration. Investors should evaluate their portfolios, assess their risk exposure, and maintain a balanced mix of investments to weather both market rallies and downturns.

  • Watch sectors likely to move. Trump's proposed policies could benefit certain sectors like infrastructure, industrials, and financials, while others like healthcare and technology might face challenges. Investors should assess opportunities in sectors that align with their long-term strategy.

  • Think beyond the headlines. Markets don't always respond predictably to news about trade wars, tax policies, or deregulation. Investors should focus on fundamentals, invest in strong companies, use dollar-cost averaging, and keep cash reserves to take advantage of opportunities during market dips.

The start of a new presidency often brings fresh energy – and uncertainty – to the financial markets. With Donald Trump’s inauguration, investors are bracing for significant policy shifts. This could mean changes in taxes, spending, and trade agreements – all factors that markets may already be reacting to or will soon begin pricing in.

For investors, it’s natural to feel both excited about potential opportunities and apprehensive about the unknown. The key to navigating these waters? Focus on your long-term goals while staying flexible enough to take advantage of emerging opportunities. Let’s dive into how you can position your portfolio as this new chapter unfolds.

Volatility is inevitable – Don’t panic

Market swings are common during times of political change, and this inauguration is no exception. Investors may be pricing in uncertainty around Trump’s proposed policies, such as his stance on trade, infrastructure spending, and tax reforms.

While the news cycle can feel like a rollercoaster, volatility isn’t a reason to sell everything. Instead, it’s a chance to evaluate your portfolio. Start by asking:

  • Am I comfortable with the level of risk in my portfolio?

  • Do I have a mix of investments that can weather both market rallies and downturns?

If you're not sure how to assess your risk exposure, you should check your asset allocation:

  • If you're heavily invested in stocks, your portfolio may experience larger swings.

  • A balance of stocks, bonds, and cash can help reduce risk while providing growth potential.

Watch sectors likely to move

Trump’s proposed policies could create tailwinds for some sectors while putting pressure on others. Here’s a high-level view of what to watch:

  • Infrastructure and industrials: Large-scale spending on roads, bridges, and other infrastructure could boost companies in construction, materials, and heavy equipment. Look into ETFs that focus on industrials or infrastructure.

  • Financials: Banks and financial institutions might benefit from deregulation and high interest rates. Consider funds that provide exposure to this sector.

  • Defensive sectors: Utilities and consumer staples often provide stability during volatile times. These may be good options if you’re looking to play it safe.

  • Healthcare and technology: These sectors could face challenges, especially if policies around drug pricing or tech regulation come under scrutiny.

Rather than chasing trends, use this as a guide to assess opportunities in sectors that align with your long-term strategy.

Think beyond the headlines

Headlines about trade wars, tax policies, or deregulation might grab your attention, but markets don't always respond predictably. For example, a tweet about tariffs might send stocks tumbling one day, only for them to recover after more clarity emerges.

  • To avoid being swayed by short-term noise, focus on fundamentals:

  • Invest in Strong Companies: Businesses with steady earnings and a history of resilience are more likely to weather political and market volatility.

  • Use Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a set amount regularly, you can reduce the impact of market fluctuations on your portfolio.

  • Keep Cash Handy: A cash reserve allows you to take advantage of opportunities when markets dip unexpectedly.

Build a safety net for peace of mind

Even seasoned investors feel the jitters during periods of uncertainty. That’s why it’s essential to have a safety net in place:

  • Bonds and dividends: Adding bonds or dividend-paying stocks can provide stability and income during turbulent times. Consider a broad-based bond ETF for instant diversification.

  • Gold and other hedges: Precious metals like gold often act as a hedge against market downturns or inflation.

  • Regular rebalancing: Check your portfolio at least twice a year to ensure your asset allocation aligns with your goals.

Final thoughts

Trump’s inauguration marks the beginning of a new chapter for markets, but the core principles of smart investing haven’t changed. By staying diversified, focusing on fundamentals, and keeping a long-term perspective, you can turn uncertainty into opportunity.

No one can predict the future, but with a steady hand and a clear plan, one can be ready to face whatever the market throws their way.

Read the original analysis: What does Trump’s inauguration mean for your portfolio?

Author

Saxo Research Team

Saxo is an award-winning investment firm trusted by 1,200,000+ clients worldwide. Saxo provides the leading online trading platform connecting investors and traders to global financial markets.

More from Saxo Research Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.