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Weekly technical and trading outlook - USD/JPY

fxsoriginal
  
WEEKLY USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

Last Update At 06 Jul 2020 00:08GMT

Trend Daily Chart

Sideways

Daily Indicators

Neutral

21 HR EMA

107.51

55 HR EMA

107.52

Trend Hourly Chart

Sideways

Hourly Indicators

Neutral

13 HR RSI

48

14 HR DMI

-ve

Daily Analysis

Choppy consolidation to continue

Resistance

108.40 - 61.8% r of 109.84-106.08
108.16 - Last Wed's 3-week high
107.88 - Last Mon's high

Support

107.34 - Last Thur's low
107.05 - Last week's low (Mon)
106.81 - Jun 26 low

USD/JPY - 107.50... Although the pair continued upmove fm Jun's 106.08 low initially last week n climbed to a 3-week high of 108.16 (Wed) due to rise in U.S. stocks n yields, price later retreated to 107.34 Thur on profit taking.

On the bigger picture, dlr's erratic fall fm 118.66 (Dec 2016) to 2019 low at 104.46 (Sep) confirms early uptrend fm 2016 29-month bottom at 99.00 has hit a top there. Despite hitting a 3-1/2 year bottom of 101.19 in Mar on risk- off trades due to coronavirus pandemic, dlr's rally to 111.71 due to broad-based usd's strength signals low has been seen. Although price has staged a strong rebound after retreating to a 7-week low at 105.99 in May, dlr's fall to 106.08 (Jun) suggests recovery has ended at 109.84 n weakness to 105.99 would be seen, break would head twd 105.15, below, 104.51. On the upside, only a daily close abv 108.54 would indicate pullback has ended, 109.84 later.

Today, dlr's fall fm 108.16 (Wed) to 107.34 signals rise fm 106.08 has made a temp. top, subsequent bounce to 107.72 would bring choppy trading, abv 107.88 would bring re-test of 108.16, bearish divergences' on hourly oscillators should keep price below 108.40. Below 107.34 would risk 107.05, 106.81/85.

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Author

AceTrader Team

Led by world-renowned technical analyst Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day.

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