|

Week Ahead Commodity Report: Gold, Silver & Crude Oil Price Forecast: 3 - 7 February 2020 [Video]

Gold prices pulled back on Monday after hitting a four-week high, as China’s central bank stepped in to inject $174 billion worth of liquidity into the markets to prevent a major economic disruption from the Coronavirus outbreak.

The People’s Bank of China made the announcement on Sunday in an effort to ease volatility in the financial markets before onshore traders returned to work on Monday for the first time, since the Lunar New Year holiday.

China is facing mounting isolation as countries across the globe introduce travel curbs, airlines suspend flights and governments evacuate their citizens, risking a worsening slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.

Traders forecast China’s economic growth may drop below 5% in 2020 versus earlier predictions of 6%. Whilst they see growth at just 2.3% in 2020, which would be the lowest rate of increase since the Global Financial Crisis.

Once we get through this ‘Band-Aid Effect’, the reality will kick-in and inevitably spark economic turmoil in China, which is going to spread globally and force a lot of central banks to cut rates – which ultimately presents an extremely bullish scenario for the precious metals.

Elsewhere in the commodity markets, Oil has now fallen almost 15% since the start of the Lunar New Year holidays, with the market getting increasingly worried over the demand impact from the Coronavirus outbreak.

There were plenty of reports last week that OPEC+ were discussing bringing forward their meeting from early March to February as a result of the price weakness. Should this event occur – it will create one of the most lucrative trading opportunities in 2020, traders will not want to miss!

Where are commodity prices heading next?  Watch Phil Carr at The Gold & Silver Club review Gold, Silver and Crude Oil with the latest price forecast and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.